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Can't argue that.

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Submitted ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩ by ⁨fossilesque@mander.xyz⁩ to ⁨science_memes@mander.xyz⁩

https://mander.xyz/pictrs/image/88a6d8fc-81d0-4b44-856f-4774b2ea45a9.png

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  • bleistift2@sopuli.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Relevant XKCD

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    • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      That’s stupid, though. If you can explain 11% of the variance of some noisy phenomenon like cognitive and behavioral flexibility, that’s noteworthy. They tested both linear and quadratic terms, and the quadratic one worked better in terms of prediction, and is also an expression of a meaningful theoretical model, rather than just throwing higher polynomials at it for the fun of it. Quadratic here also would coincide with some homogenizing mechanism at the two ends of the age distribution.

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      • toynbee@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Whether you’re right or wrong, starting your argument with “that’s stupid, though” is unlikely to convince many.

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      • onslaught545@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        But I have eyes and the curve they picked as best fit is really poorly fitting. It’s such a poor fit that is almost in a dead zone of the random points.

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      • TowardsTheFuture@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Yet it’s one single sample, and possibly not a great one. Few things could cause the shape seen like sample selection of healthy people ignores a lot more of the 65+ community than the younger, and also stuff like those born around the 50’s have higher lead levels could cause more of a dip, or like… plenty of stuff. After some repetitions sure but even then… that’s 11% hell I could probably put in an exponential with a negative exponent and be as accurate or better.

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      • grrgyle@slrpnk.net ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Now this should be an xkcd

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    • Iron_Lynx@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      This. I could have produced a more insightful scatter plot with a barn door and a twelve gauge.

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  • ddplf@szmer.info ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Does that mean it is not true that it becomes harder to learn new things with age?

    I’m 26 and I’ve been rushing gaining knowledge and experience very much so far for fear of just not being able to fit in much more once I reach certain age.

    No I’m not virtue signaling, this is fucking stressful and I will be delighted to slow down a fuckton if that’s true.

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    • StripedMonkey@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      From a completely unscientific but ‘experienced’ perspective I think the problem is that life just gets in the way as you get older, and you prioritize your own life rather than trying to learn.

      Whether neuroplasticity means you can learn things later or not, the opportunity to learn things later just isn’t there without effort.

      Having a job, kids, a mortgage and no social obligation to learn in a structured and organized way probably impacts you more than anything neurological.

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      • Kayday@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I’d imagine it also has something to do with becoming less practiced at learning things.

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      • homesweethomeMrL@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Yeah, get in what you want because in twenty years the greatest thing your brain will enjoy is not processing anything of consequence.

        Could you learn cuneiform and gain a rich understanding of 18th Century Viennese intellectual culture, if you didn’t know anything about that before? Sure.

        *burp* But then you’ll be like “ah, gotta bring in the trash cans and then I can sit.”

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    • LillyPip@lemmy.ca ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      As long as you continue to learn new things, then no, it doesn’t become harder with age. In fact, studies show that people who are lifelong learners can actually increase their ability to learn as they age. Learning, for example, a foreign language in later years has been shown to be just as attainable as in childhood, and might even give some protection against dementia. Your brain can actually become more plastic as you age if you continuously push it to do so, and it can actually become easier to learn if you train yourself to do so.

      The idea that learning capacity diminishes with age seems to be a widely accepted myth (which may have roots in sociological and cultural biases), and the opposite may actually be true.

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      • blackbrook@mander.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Well the ‘myth’ you speak of is based on the fact that the opposite of what you describe is also true. Those who lose any interest in learning new things become progressively more rigid and stuck in their mindset and become less and less likely to learn or adapt as they age. I suspect there are more people leaning towards that than lifelong learners, but I may just be a pessimist.

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      • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Well, your comment is a better variant of mine, i should have checked. :o) Thanks!

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    • WalterLego@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I started doing Capoeira and learning Portuguese with 40 years. I am fluent in Portuguese now after three years. My Capoeira skills are still pretty basic, but I progress and for the first time in my life I feel like I really have a grasp on any kind of sports.

      I also changed from marketing to IT last year and I am getting really good at what I do.

      It helps if you have a reference system for your new knowledge. I studied computer science which helps in my new job and I had French in school which helps with Portuguese.

      So don’t worry. Keep learning, avoid stress and drugs and prioritize getting enough sleep. You’ll be fine!

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    • TeamAssimilation@infosec.pub ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I’ve seen (and experienced in my fifties) that age does affect the working of your mind. I’d compare it to sleep deprivation. You know, when you’re young and reckless and haven’t slept well for a week, maybe pulling all-nighters for fun? It affects your concentration, your reflexes, and your general memory.

      Age is like a mild sleep deprivation that gets a little bit worse each decade. It takes effort to stay lucid.

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      • LillyPip@lemmy.ca ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I agree with you, but I wonder how much of this is that most of us are worked to our last nerve until we’re at least 65, so many of us don’t have the luxury to maintain our brain plasticity? Once we’re 70ish, if we didn’t have that opportunity when we were living hand-to-mouth, and our brains are kind of set by that point.

        We all have the potential, but not the opportunity until it’s kind of too late?

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    • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Keep learning, and it’ll stay easier than if you didn’t. See if you can find changes for the structure of what you’re learning so you don’t get too ossified about that, either. Like, have a decade where you focus more on sciences, one more for arts, one more for languages, one more for understanding people who are very different from you… Maybe a decade is too big a chunk, but you get the idea.

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    • OpenStars@piefed.social ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I find that I get smarter as I get older, as stupid stuff that held me back gets discarded. You do have less energy I hear, but even there I think a fit 50 year old would be more energetic than a lazy 25 year old? Obviously having kids is a huge energy drain, but that’s not technically aging, just correlation rather than causation.

      So anyway even if this graphic were true, it would be irrelevant as the major factor seems to me to be a willingness to learn, only after which raw ability would come into play.

      In your case the adage that now is the time to learn is true, but not for any of the reasons mentioned above. Once you shift your perspective that the time for hard work is over and the time for personal play is at hand - to watch more TV, play games, hang out with friends, etc. - then it’s incredibly hard (most people phrase that as “impossible") to ever go back to that college mindset of “it’s study time, let’s go!!!”. That’s not even just human nature, but rather the raw physics of inertia coupled with adaptation that lowers energy requirements that were evolutionarily built into our brains and bodies.

      Discipline is a mindset that is mostly independent of age, except it trends towards older as those who have seen how it works first-hand now realize its value (coupled with individual survival of those who have more rather than less of it, i.e. the most reckless die the earliest in life), plus also younger as people listen and thus benefit from the accumulated wisdom of others.

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      • flora_explora@beehaw.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        What has discipline got to do with it? I feel it’s pretty independent or may even get in the way of learning. If you force (discipline) yourself to learn something, it will feel much harder than if you do it out of joy. But maybe I didn’t fully understand what you were saying.

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    • Dasus@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Neural plasticity isn’t exactly the same as learning but, yeah, there seems to be a thing around 27 where neural plasticity seems to plateau a bit.

      But I’m wondering if that’s more the effect than the cause. Perhaps it’s because a lot of people, up until they’re around 25-30, have a very quickly changing life. Schools are changing, jobs are changing, people are changing. But when you start to get into late twenties, early 30’s, most people already have a routine of some sort. And it would seem logical to me that it could mean lowered neural plasticity.

      And perhaps it could come just as well if you started having as much variance and stimulation as earlier in your life. Perhaps not as much.

      But yeah I don’t think there’s any sort of biological limit that you just can’t learn things anymore. Never too old.

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    • AnarchistArtificer@slrpnk.net ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      My pragmatic understanding of this as someone who is a life scientist (but not a neuroscientist) is that neuroplasticity itself is sort of like a skill, and if you don’t use it, you lose it. That is to say that you needn’t rush to cram in new knowledge, but you should continue to indulge your hunger for knowledge. If you keep expanding your horizons and ways of thinking, you’ll maintain a high level of neuroplasticity as you age

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    • hperrin@lemmy.ca ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I have to learn new things all the time for my job, and I find as long as I never run out of caffeine, it’s not really a problem. I’m approaching 40, so take that as you will.

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    • bridgeenjoyer@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Im in a hurry to learn and do everything possible before either the world collapses, I get some sickness, die randomly, or have to take care of a loved sick one for the rest of my life. Im right in a window of freedom now. Makes it very hard to ever relax lest I “waste” my few remaining years.

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    • dermanus@lemmy.ca ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I’ve read a decent amount of his stuff. If I had to guess from the information here, he’s dismissive because the correlation is weak. Just because you technically can draw a line of best fit doesn’t mean it’s a good fit.

      Look how many dots all over are nowhere near that line.

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  • ZkhqrD5o@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    R^2 = 0.11

    Image

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    • jaennaet@sopuli.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      You have to surround the 2 with ^s:

      R^2^ = 0.11

      R^2^ = 0.11

      Note that this’ll bork if you put spaces between the carets: ^2 2^ gives you ^2 2^

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      • ulterno@programming.dev ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I know I’m late, but you can also use:
        R² = 0.11

        Someone said it messes with screen-readers, but when I tried, everything messed with screen-readers, so I don’t see much of a difference.

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  • Eheran@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    guess the correlation, looks about like a solid 0.1. Whoever put that regression line in there is crazy, the confidence interval is insulting.

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    • Gladaed@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Why does that fucking Thing require my Google account?

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      • Eheran@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        No idea, sorry.

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    • bleistift2@sopuli.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Was about to say that. It’s sad that your comment is the very last in this thread.

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      • LillyPip@lemmy.ca ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        1: it’s not last, and 2: it’s not sad, because 3: people aren’t reading the source material. I love xkcd, too, but that doesn’t apply here.

        We don’t need to throw satire pies in the just because results don’t match expectations doesn’t mean we should throw pies of satire in their face. This is actually interesting.

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    • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      How do you think a case of “this explains some of the differences in the population, but not a lot” should look?

      And that looks potentially fine for an error bar. For a mean estimate, SE=SD/√N , so depending on what error band they used this looks quite plausible.

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      • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Also, the R^2 is even in the picture: .11

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      • Eheran@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Take a look at these examples of regression. See how any one of the conclusions is absurd? Mind you the data in that example is far less random!

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  • Matriks404@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    I am 29, and so far I didn’t really see any mental decline, sometimes even the reverse - I become better at learning certain stuff. Although I am also more aware that I will never be on the level some very talented people are, but it’s fine.

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    • Hazzard@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I don’t think this is neuroplasticity, as much as it is having a broader experience to bring to bear. I have so much knowledge and experience with a variety of things that I can apply and relate to new skills to learn things fairly quickly.

      I also find there’s a ceiling on my abilities, like you mentioned. I’m never going to learn something to the same depth as someone who learns it as a kid and carries it forwards, things just don’t seem to sink deep into intuition and instinct like that, but I can certainly pick up something well enough to enjoy it and enjoy the process of improving at it. I love learning new skills and pushing myself, and I don’t mind the idea that that’s the way to age gracefully and stay sharp.

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      • Kage520@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Not sure about this. People told me I would not be able to learn piano as an adult, but after 5 years of playing 15 - 30 minutes per night I feel like I am about as good as a child or teenager who put in the same amount of time. I am starting to see how people can sight read at full speed (vs me for an intermediate piece I might be able to get 20% speed, with probably poor accuracy).

        I think you might be comparing someone else’s 20 - 25+ years of experience (eg, someone who has consistently played piano their whole life) to your ability to pick up a new skill from scratch. There is just a huge time sink for a brand new topic and it takes anyone a ton of time. So if you really wanted to pick up some theoretical physics or something, but are currently bad at math, it might take 15 years just to get to the beginning to really be one someone’s level who… Started 15 years ago.

        Unless I guess if there is unlearning time. Like the smarter every day video where they made a reverse turning bicycle that was impossible for people to use unless they spent forever relearning, vs his son who picked it up relatively easy. I think they had to unlearn what they knew so well.

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      • martinb@lemmy.sdf.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I’m never going to learn something to the same depth as someone who learns it as a kid

        Lack of time to study or research in my opinion

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    • shaggyb@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Played a reflex-based video game against a teenager lately?

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      • working_bee@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I feel like reflexes are different than learning. Motor control definitely gets worse over time.

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      • Sektor@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Played a fiddle vs the Devil?

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      • Matriks404@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I don’t really play competitive video games, because I have always seen them as waste of time, and I easily get angry,but recently I nearly did get all retroachievements for NES Terris, so I guess my reflexes are not horrible yet.

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      • NikkiDimes@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Im in my thirties and still average reflexes around 150-175ms ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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    • ulterno@programming.dev ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      A lot of things are easier to learn when you have a base foundation.

      Also, a lot of skills have interrelated mental pathways, so once you have enough exp with one, learning the other means, you are actually plasticising your brain, less than what you would have, had you learnt the other skill without knowing the first.

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    • Xartle@lemmy.ml ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I feel like the first time you notice that you have lost some mental capacity is a middle age right of passage.

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  • BlueMagma@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    I love that they put an error margin, which doesn’t include 90 % of all the datapoints.

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    • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      That’s how a standard error with normal-ish data works. The more data points for the estimation of a conditional mean you have, the fewer of the data point will be within it. For a normal distribution, the SE=SD/√N . Heck, you can even just calculate which proportion of the distribution you can expect to be within the 95% CI as a function of sample size. (Its a bit more complicated because of how probabilities factor into this, but for a large enough N it’s fine)

      For N=9, you’d expect 26% of data points within the 95% CI of the mean For N=16, 19% For 25, 16% For 100, 8% For 400, 4% Etc

      Out of curiosity: What issue did you take with the error margin not including most data points?

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      • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Oops, should have multiplied those intervals with 1.96, ao here again:

        9 - 49%

        16 - 38%

        25 - 30%

        100 -16%

        400 - 8%

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  • mathemachristian@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Absolute scattershot of datapoints

    Nooo he’s so cute, I can interpolate him

    Bestie, stop

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    • QuinnyCoded@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Image

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  • MissJinx@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    As a subject I cam confirm. No

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  • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    doi.org/10.1111/bjc.12505 the paper

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    • qwen@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Nuh-uh.

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      • DonPiano@feddit.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Lol

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  • sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Goddamnit Taleb.

    What is this, a black swan event you could not have predicted as being within the realm of possibility, and thus have no idea how to react?

    God Damnit, Taleb.

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    • RaivoKulli@sopuli.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Is this the guy who calls everyone imbeciles?

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    • sus@programming.dev ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Taleb’s mind just isn’t antifragile enough. Or maybe too antifragile. Idk I didn’t read his book

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      • Juice@midwest.social ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I read a couple Teleb books about 15 years ago, they’re very funny. You go in thinking they’re these books about systematic collapse, but mostly its just about how he’s so smart he gets to be friends with Benoit Mandelbrot.

        The theme of Anti-Fragile is “don’t be a sucker” which is really good advice tbh, but if you’re not a sucker you wouldnt have fallen for the apocalyptic framing of a book about how he’s so smart because he read some entry-level philosophy at some point

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    • staph@sopuli.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Some beliefs are more antifragile than others

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      • sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Wait so… his own brain isn’t antifragile (neuroplastic) enough to consider the idea that some other people his age have brains that actually are antifragile (neuroplastic)?

        You could probably make a 5 or 10 minute sketch, for econ nerds, out of how absolutely absurd this is.

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  • greedytacothief@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Currently 29. Noticed mental decline after concussions in my youth and a few years of heavy drinking. I don’t fall on my head as much and I don’t really drink anymore, but I’m not sure how much of what I’ve lost I’m going to get back.

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    • missfrizzle@discuss.tchncs.de ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I have no scientific basis for this, but my suspicion is that what you do with your brain is more important to cognition than whatever raw intelligence you start with. the more languages you study, the more music you play, the more subjects you study and skills you develop and hobbies you tinker with and deep conversations you have… you learn to learn, you learn to think, it all gets wired up and cross-connected and you become more than the sum of your parts.

      how much decline is truly biological vs. being stuck in a rut?

      also there’s nootropics that could be helpful for concussion recovery/etc. but they haven’t been too well-studied, there’s many different ones with different sketchiness and sources aren’t always trustworthy… but piracetam (iirc) is actually prescribed in the EU for recovery from brain injury, and it’s fairly safe and well-studied. I’m not recommending it either way though.

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      • greedytacothief@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        My friend is going through concussion rehabilitation right now and is working with one of the best doctors in the field. She has not been prescribed any medication at all. It’s been 9 months maybe? Right now she’s onto the stage where she need to get her heart rate up with exercise. Though it took a long time for doctors to actually start taking her symptoms seriously and she bounced around between a lot of them before she got where she is now.

        We’ve had lots of talks about the recovery process, how you can train your brain to get better at certain things. And I’ve been doing lots of stuff to train my brain. But still friends will bring up symptoms they have and I’ll be like, oh shit I didn’t know that was concussion related!

        But I think some of my symptoms are just going to be there for life. Language processing, memory (some memory has improved with training but sometimes I just get stuck and can’t think of a word or name or whatever), visual artifacts, sound sensitivity, and I don’t know if it’s related but I definitely get depressed.

        I think with training you can improve your life experience, but I’m not sure you’ll ever get back to what it would be like without a concussion. Also I’m sure the 4-7 years of binge drinking didn’t help either.

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    • InputZero@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      I’ve been there and all I can say is that the brain is a miraculous organ and can heal really well from a lot of trauma. You just have to stop damaging it, learn how to work with your brain rather than having your brain work for you, and exercise it. Challenge yourself to learn an easy skill, then another, then another.

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      • greedytacothief@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        What do you mean stop damaging it? What makes it sound like I’m not working with my brain? What makes it sound like I’m not exercising my brain?

        No I’m not going to stop doing sports. I’m doing a lot to work with my brain, and I’m always learning something new.

        I’m learning sumi-e painting to go with my calligraphy, I’m taking the time to get back into programming. This is my second year mountain biking and I’ve gotten pretty good at it over the summer. I journal every day and reflect, I’ve been making a lot of progress being less critical of myself. In doing all those things I’ve felt my social skills slip, so now I’m putting in the effort to be around people more and be vulnerable around them.

        And yet I can feel places where my brain isn’t as strong as it used to be. I’m accepting of that and trying to love myself in spite of my shortcomings. I don’t need to optimize for everything, I can just focus on what’s important to me.

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  • echodot@feddit.uk ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    But we know for a fact that plasticity does drop with age, that’s why it’s so difficult to learn foreign language after childhood.

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    • sus@programming.dev ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Neuroplasticity does drop with age, but the drop is smaller than it was previously assumed to be, especially outside of early childhood (you may note that eg. this graph starts at 20 years old)

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      • echodot@feddit.uk ⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        As far as I can tell. They have just drawn a line on a random distribution.

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