KevonLooney
@KevonLooney@lemm.ee
- Comment on Never Forget 6 days ago:
Yes, that’s right. Basically you can’t rely on polls this far from the election.
The question says “if the election were held today, who would you vote for”. But the election isn’t today, and the person answering the question knows that. So you see more people answer with third party candidates then would actually vote that way.
Not only that, but candidates’ GOTV efforts do not happen until the election is approaching soon. That’s what actually wins elections, not polls from 6 months before.
- Comment on Never Forget 1 week ago:
You didn’t answer the question:
Do you know anyone who is voting for RFK Jr? He is polling at 10% right now, so if it’s real then statistically you should know someone.
- Comment on Never Forget 1 week ago:
You’re wrong about a lot and you’re presenting your opinions as fact. Trump doesn’t underpoll by that amount now.
There was a phenomenon in 2016 where people were reluctant to tell pollsters they were voting for him, because they were embarrassed. Now Trump supporters are the loud minority of voters. And Biden is the boring safe choice. Biden voters are less likely to stay on the phone and answer questions.
Also, national polls mean very little. You have to actually look at the swing state polls to find out who’s winning. And there’s not much data this far from the election.
Finally, we can tell there’s something wrong with current polling just because “Mr. Brainworms” RFK Jr polls around 10% right now. No one is going to vote for him, and definitely not 10% of the population. People are just fucking with the pollsters right now. Do you know anyone seriously considering voting for RFK Jr?
- Comment on Was the 401(k) a Mistake? How an obscure, 45-year old tax change transformed retirement and left so many Americans out in the cold. 1 week ago:
Social Security is forced contributions from employers and employees. It’s the same thing, just on a national level. And the original intention doesn’t matter. Social Security is changed all the time. Old people always need more money.
- Comment on "PSN isn't supported in my country. What do I do?" Arrowhead CEO: "I don't know" 1 week ago:
😂
Tone police? That’s rich, coming from the comment police. Besides, you said it twice:
Nothing has changed, it was obvious what was happening long ago, but we’ve done nothing but watch it get worse.
Do you think no one can provide context for your comments? Everyone has to agree with you 100%?
- Comment on "PSN isn't supported in my country. What do I do?" Arrowhead CEO: "I don't know" 1 week ago:
So you’re intentionally exaggerating when you say “nothing has changed”. Yeah nothing has changed, except an entire Executive Branch department that didn’t exist before. It was more influential than many other books written at the time.
Of course the author wanted the book to be even more influential, that’s why authors write. No writer says “this book kinda sucks, I hope people read half of it and put it down”.
- Comment on "PSN isn't supported in my country. What do I do?" Arrowhead CEO: "I don't know" 1 week ago:
“The Jungle” famously spurred large reforms. The FDA exists and has a lot of power because people were disgusted by what they read.
That’s why you’re reading a hundred-year-old book: it was influential.
- Comment on What kind of institutional gaslighting is this? 2 weeks ago:
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If a problem came up I was expected to text or call a manager. As you can imagine, they did not often reply or pick up.
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Many problems require rather immediate solutions.
These are not your problems. If management has enacted a procedure that doesn’t work, don’t change it or you will be blamed for any failure.
Send a few emails to document your opinion that there are problems. Otherwise, do exactly what was recommended. You want the policy to fail. Don’t try to improve it without management support.
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- Comment on Showing appreciation for hard work. 4 weeks ago:
some of them
Without looking into it, I can guarantee you that no one involved in British Intelligence in WW2 were in the US Army Military Police in Iraq 60 years later. Not everything is connected.
- Comment on Showing appreciation for hard work. 4 weeks ago:
The Germans were utterly fucked when it came to gathering intelligence because threatening captives doesn’t work. Allies put captured generals in a luxury prison and bugged them.
- Comment on People watching at a mall in 1996 4 weeks ago:
It’s a normal sized camera. Find a new slant.
- Comment on I bought frozen BBQ eel and the best before date says LJ349. What does this mean? 4 weeks ago:
You can easily write out the month: April 1, 2024. And don’t say “people might not speak English” or Chinese or whatever. You know what language to put it in because the rest of the package has writing on it too.
- Comment on rabbit hole 5 weeks ago:
They did sail to Africa. It’s well documented in primary and secondary sources. They made a map with Africa on it:
- Comment on this one goes out to the arts & humanities 5 weeks ago:
Yeah but that doesn’t work when you need it most on “The Price is Right”.
- Comment on rabbit hole 5 weeks ago:
They did sail to Africa. They picked up giraffes and shit and brought them back to China. They intervened in local conflicts like “both of you lose! China wins! Give tribute.”
- Comment on He's got a point 5 weeks ago:
This entire thread is about communism? The parent post is a critique of it? The word is mentioned in every post on the thread?
- Comment on He's got a point 5 weeks ago:
I mean, you can still go to former communist countries and see what older people look like. Like in Hungary older people don’t smile much. They learned that if you smile too much it might be suspicious and you could be investigated by the police. Why are you smiling? Do you have access to black market luxuries?
- Comment on He's got a point 5 weeks ago:
Most people don’t need physical therapy after working in an office for a few years.
- Comment on this one goes out to the arts & humanities 5 weeks ago:
But they were estimating things. Somehow illiterate people ran marketplaces for thousands of years.
- Comment on this one goes out to the arts & humanities 5 weeks ago:
Well you should memorize those anyway. It’s useful all your life for easy calculation. If you want 7 items and they cost $3.50 each, it’s between $21 and $28.
- Comment on this one goes out to the arts & humanities 5 weeks ago:
This has a secondary effect of making average people incapable of estimation in their heads. Hopefully in the future people won’t be incapable of writing and art.
- Comment on unsure why we are surprised lol 5 weeks ago:
It actually stands for “Mali”.
- Comment on Traders Are Betting Millions That Trump Media Will Tumble 1 month ago:
It’s not that complicated. Don’t make finance seem unapproachable.
The explanation isn’t great but it sounds like they are basically just buying a warrant (call option issued by the company) at a low price and selling the shares short at a higher price. That would create a riskless profit if you wait for the merger to be approved.
If the stock goes way up, you make money on the warrant and pay some back on the short. If the stock drops, you make money on the short and lose some on the warrant.
Usually this strategy doesn’t work but trading in this stock is not rational. It’s like they’re borrowing apples to sell them at $3 now and paying it back with a guaranteed $2 apple later.
- Comment on The real personality test 1 month ago:
This isn’t “who you really are” though. It’s actually better to sound irritated to the IVR because some can detect vocal inflection and swear words. They will send you to a live agent faster than if you are polite. They make the polite people jump through more hoops.
- Comment on Academic Titles 1 month ago:
Well they didn’t get a doctorate in English, so how would they know that?
- Comment on car insurance 1 month ago:
Also, an accident is just a matter of time / miles. You can be the most careful driver in the world and a car can pull in front of you on the freeway and come to a dead stop. You’ll hit them from behind and the insurance company will blame you.
- Comment on California law would give employees the 'right to disconnect' during nonworking hours 1 month ago:
deducting points
My friend, everything’s made up and the points don’t matter. Just need to look for a similar job. Ask your friends and former coworkers.
- Comment on FF Evangelists 1 month ago:
Use bookmarks
- Comment on I feel old 1 month ago:
Stop trying to make fetch happen
- Comment on I feel old 1 month ago:
Cowabunga dude.