Hopefully not another Libya, but I fear it will be another Libya.
Since Syria goverment has fallen, do we have any inkling of what will replace it?
Submitted 5 months ago by Patnou@lemmy.world to [deleted]
Comments
Jackthelad@lemmy.world 5 months ago
skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.de 5 months ago
Syrian Civil War is over. Now another Syrian Civil War will begin
i somehow doubt that that widely divergent alliance of convenience will hold any reasonable time. there’s a massive issue of ceasefire between SDF and SNA/SSG/FSA or however they’re called now, and it’s not like the latter is a monolith. there is everything from former AQ jihadis to secularists and minorities like Druze
skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.de 5 months ago
there already seems to be sectarian divide precipitating between shias and sunnis
IDKWhatUsernametoPutHereLolol@lemmy.dbzer0.com 5 months ago
Well, there’s a different group known as Syrian Democratic Forces that control the Northeastern of the country, a different group from the ones that took the Syrian capital and the western areas of the country.
My prediction is. We might see another civil war between these 2 different group.
T00l_shed@lemmy.world 5 months ago
A theocracy likely
muntedcrocodile@lemm.ee 5 months ago
The same thing with a different face
Rooty@lemmy.world 5 months ago
The two moderate beheader factions will push out the extremist beheaders, then fight among themselves.
adespoton@lemmy.ca 5 months ago
Not sure about that; the current majority leader comes from extremist roots.
nokturne213@sopuli.xyz 5 months ago
Disorder
RobotToaster@mander.xyz 5 months ago
Islamofascists worse than what it’s replacing.
Ugurcan@lemmy.world 5 months ago
HTS is currently pledged to Syrian Salvation Government, which is basically the opposition government in exile (operating from Istanbul), governing NW Syria (4 mil pop) from the back seat for the last 10 years. HTS is just acting as its main but not only militia organization, and Jolani said HTS will oversee the Syrian state’s transition to SSG.
We’ll hear the names of Mohammed al-Bashir and Mustafa al-Mousa in the coming days.
HTS mostly consists of militants splintered off from Al Qaeda and ISIS, and waged war against them. Apparently they gave up “Salafist” terrorism to turn into a Syrian Nationalist movement instead. Jolani sounded more secular than I was expecting, so let’s hope the new western backed puppet state brings some peace to Syrians after all.
setsneedtofeed@lemmy.world 5 months ago
Likely the HTS, which is the main rebel group that lead the new offensive and which has already absorbed or eliminated many other groups in Syria.
jagermo@feddit.org 5 months ago
I really hope the leader is as moderate as he claims. He has the historic chance to establish something. Or to fuck shit up even more
setsneedtofeed@lemmy.world 5 months ago
He seems like he follows whatever gives him the best position. Projecting moderation to the west is a no-brainer, but he also has to contend with projecting the correct stance to the groups inside Syria and that is likely going to be a much less moderate one.
There is also the outside factors of Russia, Iran, and the US. There are a lot of considerations for all of them and I won’t even pretend to predict how they will all act and react, but I do want acknowledge they can and likely will all drastically affect Syria.