mycodesucks
@mycodesucks@lemmy.world
- Comment on New Year? In this economy? 1 week ago:
For me the most important thing in that year was Chrono Trigger.
Been chasing that high for 30 years.
- Comment on New Year? In this economy? 1 week ago:
I would KILL for another 1995.
- Comment on You should start doing this today 2 weeks ago:
Already doing it today in a couple of Wayland threads.
- Comment on Real talk, which would you rather have: Megaman 12, or Megaman X9? 2 weeks ago:
Megaman Legends 3
- Comment on Anon hates dark fantasy 2 weeks ago:
“I like this movie, but do we really need the whole war part of it?”
“Well, I mean… it’s a movie ABOUT World War 2…”
“Yeah, but… I just think it’s so depressing and violent.”
“IT’S ABOUT A WAR.”
- Comment on Come the fuck on.... please? 3 weeks ago:
I’d put down a bet that Iceland is gonna be okay.
- Comment on Okay, I won't 3 weeks ago:
- Comment on just one more bro 1 month ago:
It’s genies all the way down.
- Comment on just one more bro 1 month ago:
The real question isn’t if the universe ends…
It’s if the genie magic expands outward from the source at the speed of light, or if it’s instantaneous everywhere, which would allow information to be transmitted faster than the speed of light, allowing for violations of causality, and destroying our fundamental understanding of the universe before we all died.
- Comment on Mid Career Marine Biology 1 month ago:
Jotaro? Is that you?
- Comment on Lara Croft is a Sociopath 1 month ago:
Keep it up, baby
- Comment on to hell I say 2 months ago:
- Comment on I'd also add that 2 months ago:
What if what you want to do is be elitist about hot dog condiments?
- Comment on There Will Never Be Another Jon Stewart | Renzy [17:14] 3 months ago:
PHRASING!
Gave me a heart attack.
- Comment on Weird collaboration but ok 3 months ago:
I want to believe this is real SO badly, but it’s just too perfect… It can’t be… can it?
- Comment on MD = oMega Dumbass 3 months ago:
Don’t worry. The people who were really scared never stopped. They didn’t get their vaccinations (education) and are susceptible to all kinds of infections (bullshit).
- Comment on Scott Bakula Eyeing Star Trek Return In President Archer Series Pitch From ‘Enterprise’ Producer 3 months ago:
…gettin’ from there to here…
- Comment on Cutting sucks 3 months ago:
A fellow member of boiled, unsalted chicken club!
Don’t forget the tabasco.
- Comment on Anon learns a new spell 3 months ago:
- Comment on Nintendo sold almost 6 million Switch 2 units in less than a month 3 months ago:
- Comment on I explained economics to my nine year old 3 months ago:
Oh, there are certainly very big ones, but even the big ones sometimes don’t have predicted impacts because at given times some things that USED to be drivers might not be just now. For example, a 2% sales tax increase, depending on the current state of people’s buying, could have a minor impact or a major impact. If people are already buying only what they need, the impact to demand could be negligible. If they’re splurging but wages are stagnant, maybe it has a huge impact. If they’re splurging AND wages are increasing, maybe it has a negligible impact again. The basic point is, even if you understand the major drivers, without a bigger picture of the macroeconomic picture and what specific forces are driving behavior at the moment, your impact could be anything from dulled to the exact opposite of your intention.
Also, some of those factors, front running, insider trading, and market manipulation, which are evidence of a more predictable market, BECOME additional variables that impact decision making because they themselves impact other factors.
Weather forecasting might not be the best metaphor here… it’s more like the human body. You might know that some protein causes some favorable condition that you want to boost, but increasing that protein production might ALSO increase production of an enzyme for breaking it down, reducing bio-availability of one of the building blocks, leading to a reduction of another protein that’s critical for immune function. All of these pathways function together in ways that are extremely hard to predict, and it’s natural that very often you’ll be wrong.
But that’s not to say I’m being defeatist… you build better models and you try things anyway - because that’s what we do. I’m just saying economics is very, very, very hard, and there’s not just a limit to our current ability to predict, there’s a limit to how much we certainty we CAN achieve.
- Comment on I explained economics to my nine year old 3 months ago:
It’s true, but it’s not because of their lack of knowledge, it’s because of the nature of the system they’re talking about. The economy is based on thousands of tiny variables, and which ones are relevant changes depending on the current state. Small changes to one part create feedback loops that effect other parts. It’s also not linear. You can change one thing by 1% and wind up changing other parts of the economy by 50%.
Economists take their best guesses based on the models and understanding they have right now, but it’s not like engineering - it’s notoriously hard to predict what the real causes and impact of anything will be. So you’re absolutely right - everything is an estimate because the system is in inherently chaotic.
- Comment on I explained economics to my nine year old 3 months ago:
That’s true too, but you’re also talking about a chaotic system, and chaotic systems are stubbornly hard to accurately predict even with perfect knowledge.
Economic forecasters are like weather forecasters. The really good ones give you their best guesses, but it’s still not a guarantee of anything - there are too many variables and even the tiny ones can have a huge impact on results.
- Comment on I explained economics to my nine year old 3 months ago:
The 9 year old aside, I’m skeptical when anybody on social media claims they’re going to explain ANYTHING about economics. Even the best people in the world at it only KIND OF know what they’re doing.
- Comment on When will we have reached enough productivity? 3 months ago:
Actually, ironically, that would be BETTER than what we have now. Billionaires increasing their consumption would at least mean they’re SPENDING their money on something which is paying SOMEONE.
Instead they hoard and do nothing with it.
- Comment on hubris go brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr 4 months ago:
If only. They’ll fill it with sycophants until the explosions stop. They’re just more resources for them to use.
- Comment on yum 4 months ago:
- Comment on This is the smallest print size i've ever seen 4 months ago:
plowers ervironme ntal elasticrub ber film ieather transparentsemi
other materials have good performamoe.
- Comment on Anon has a warning for incels 4 months ago:
Then you’ll be more valuable to your corporate masters. Everybody wins!
- Comment on Anon has a warning for incels 4 months ago:
