Can’t trust snopes any more
Comment on Why are weather apps so bad at telling you the current weather?
folekaule@lemmy.world 1 month agoUnless I misunderstood what you said, that’s not it either. 50% chance of rain means exactly that: according to their forecast models, there is a 50% change it will rain. Snopes did a writeup of this.
sem@lemmy.blahaj.zone 1 month ago
EveryMuffinIsNowEncrypted@lemmy.blahaj.zone 1 month ago
Says who? And what evidence?
kitnaht@lemmy.world 1 month ago
Reading Snopes will give you plenty. Read the articles - and a lot of them use weasel-wording to push the result they want.
I don’t have the exact article on hand at the moment, but an example would be someone claiming that clear-cutting 1000 acres of trees would destroy [X]^3 of CO2 reduction; and then Snopes will “fact check” it by saying they aren’t cutting down 1000 acres of trees this year.
AmidFuror@fedia.io 1 month ago
That's not a correct understanding of how Snopes works. They debunked this.
linearchaos@lemmy.world 1 month ago
yeah, never mind the references in the article where they pointed out the evidence for their conclusions. :P
WolfLink@sh.itjust.works 1 month ago
Key word “in the given forecast area”.
The statement “there’s a 40% chance of rain at any given point at any given time in the forecast area/period” is an average over both area and time.
Many different actual distributions of rain could result in that average, including a 100% chance of it raining in 40% of the are or a 40% chance of it raining in 100% of the area. Real distributions are typically messier than that.