WolfLink

@WolfLink@sh.itjust.works

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨7⁩ ⁨hours⁩ ago⁩:

  A “case study” is more formal than an anecdote, but still has the same issues.

  Here’s a quote from the end of the “Limitations” section of the Wikipedia article on “Case Study”:

  As small-N research should not rely on random sampling, scholars must be careful in avoiding selection bias when picking suitable cases. A common criticism of qualitative scholarship is that cases are chosen because they are consistent with the scholar’s preconceived notions, resulting in biased research.

  Another quote from earlier in that section:

  The authors’ recommendation is to increase the number of observations … because few observations make it harder to estimate multiple causal effects, as well as increase the risk that there is measurement error, and that an event in a single case was caused by random error or unobservable factors.

  The “Uses” section of that article starts with:

  Case studies have commonly been seen as a fruitful way to come up with hypotheses and generate theories. Case studies are useful for understanding outliers or deviant cases.

  Lower down that section has:

  Case studies of cases that defy existing theoretical expectations may contribute knowledge by delineating why the cases violate theoretical predictions and specifying the scope conditions of the theory.

  Case studies are used to guide experimental and quantitative research, but are not a replacement for that part of the research process.

  Applying that to case studies that appear to involve the supernatural, sufficient convincing case studies should lead to theories about the conditions for supernatural events, which should lead to experiments or quantitative studies to test those theories.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨me btw⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago⁩:

  I ran a comparison between libsvtav1 and h264 and h265 and found that libsvtav kinda sucks

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨me btw⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago⁩:

  Compress video to a broadly compatible format:

  ffmpeg -i input -c:v libx264 -pix_fmt yuv420p -crf 25 -preset slow -c:a libfdk_aac -b:a 128k output.mp4
  

  This incantation is what I end up needing 99% of the time I do something with ffmpeg.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨me btw⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago⁩:

  YouTube and windows movie maker are almost certainly using ffmpeg.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago⁩:

  I don’t think any one anecdote or even a collection of anecdotes would convince me because of the explanations I layed out.

  I can think of an experiment, which would be something like to hide a box with a computer that displays one of 3 colors, selected randomly and recorded by the computer so nobody can know what color was displayed until inspecting the computer later. Ask people if they had an out-of-body experience, and if they noticed the box and looked inside. Ask people who answered affirmatively to that what color was in the box, and do a statistical analysis of the results.

  Even if you aren’t going to do a controlled experiment, you have to make sure your interviews of patients include every patient who had a near death experience over the course of your study.

  Reviews of anecdotes that were only recorded because they are interesting is not a productive way to answer this question.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago⁩:

  I’m not saying “rare data in general is not valuable”.

  Not observing hawking radiation in a situation where no theory predicts hawking radiation is neither evidence for nor against the existence of hawking radiation. That would be like taking the lack of NDE in completely healthy people as evidence against NDEs.

  I’ll try to state my problem with cherry picking anecdotes about NDE more succinctly.

  My hypothesis: These NDE stories are the experience of wacky brain activity arising from near death situations.

  Supposed evidence against that hypothesis: Some of these stories involve people knowing stuff they shouldn’t have been able to know.

  My hypothesis to explain that “supernatural” knowledge:

  1. Sometimes people notice things subconsciously, and sometimes other people could have been tipped off about information in ways other people don’t realize.
  2. Sometimes people guess things correctly

  The problem with relying on anecdotes is:

  1. Memory is fallible and people’s accounts of events are often affected by discussion after the fact as well as what they “want” to think about the event
  2. This is the confirmation bias part. If you only record correct guesses, it doesn’t seem like they are guessing.

  Let’s there’s a tik tok trend and 1000 people ask someone to guess the result of 10 coin flips. One of them gets them all correct! Wow that’s amazing that person must have supernatural powers! (Nope it’s just statistics).

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago⁩:

  That’s a rough estimate of mine on how many near death experiences might have happened, studied or not, and that’s why it’s such a problem to only focus on the anecdotal cases that get recorded because they are interesting.

  A proper study doesn’t need to include 1,000,000 cases, but it does need to ensure that it doesn’t have bias in the cases it does include.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago⁩:

  Confirmation bias is when the outcome could be adequately explained by luck.

  In the topic of near death experiences, if there are 1,000,000 near death experiences and 100 involve someone “knowing something they shouldn’t be able to”, those 100 cases are more likely to be remembered or recorded as significant than the other 900,000 cases. This can lead to an apparent statistical significance in correctly knowing “unknowable” information, when really it’s just people “guessing” correctly.

  The “black swan” scenario is a bit different but it would be something like if you are more likely to record a swan sighting if the swan is black, you will significantly overestimate the frequency of black swans.

  Im not saying the cases of apparent supernatural effects should be ignored, I’m saying they need to be taken in the context of all similar events, including the mundane, to understand if there even is an effect (knowing something that shouldn’t be possible) or if it’s just a handful of lucky guesses.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago⁩:

  Near death experiences are a tricky thing to study. There are physiological explanations for much of it, such as weird brain activity is likely to be interpreted as a weird experience.

  These people would have no way of having knowing this stuff unless they’ve seen it for themselves, which would have been physically impossible.

  The problem of this argument is confirmation bias. An anecdote of seeing information you couldn’t have seen and being right is going to be more memorable than seeing information and being wrong.

  when you have several hundred of them compiled back-to-back-to-back it becomes harder and harder to find the willpower required to muster up a skeptical response

  Nah I think statistics can very very easily explain several hundred apparent out-of-body near-death-experiences out of the millions or billions of people who would have had a chance to experience near-death over recent history.

  I did some googling of my own and found some studies on the topic from seemingly reputable sources that suggested physiological explanations might not be sufficient to explain the patterns they saw. Several of these had the same first author. I also found plenty of studies suggesting physiological explanations can be sufficient, as well as some specific criticisms of the couple studies that suggested they weren’t sufficient.

  It’s interesting for sure that there is a doctor or two who seem to believe in the supernatural. The topic of near death experience seems to be of research interest regardless of any supernatural theories because of what it tells us about the brain.

  It seems we will likely arrive at scientific consensus about near death experience in the future. I wouldn’t hold my breath that supernatural theories will survive that process.

  events that transpired when they had no brain activity.

  I think I saw the case this was talking about during my googling. It said “no suspected brain activity” which is not the same as confirmation of “no brain activity”.

  That’s the problem with a book like the one you are describing. It’s deliberately cherry picked, exaggerated, and biased to drive you to a certain conclusion.

  I instead urge you to go read scientific papers on the topic, and specifically not just the ones that seem to suggest the outcome you want to hear.

  Here’s a place to start.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Can a reasonable person genuinely believe in ghosts?⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago⁩:

  chocolate tastes more like coffee than soap

  This is absolutely something you could scientifically test.

  The scientific method is building up knowledge by noticing a pattern, coming up with an explanation for that pattern, then thinking what further effects that explanation would imply, and looking for those effects.

  So when someone claims something is “outside the realm of science”, how could that be?

  Often it’s either because it isn’t reproducible (it’s a miracle that supposedly happened once and never will happen again) or it doesn’t affect anything.

  If it isn’t reproducible, it’s hard to believe that it happened that way. Perhaps you are missing some details?

  If it doesn’t affect anything, why care?

  For the ghost stuff … the book Surviving Death by Leslie Kane.

  I’ve heard of many, many attempts to scientifically prove supernatural effects and none that showed a result. Most ghost stories I’ve heard have other more reasonable explanations if you think about it. Memory tends to be unreliable so sometimes details may be added or changed to fit the expected explanation, even if the person doesn’t intend to be misleading. Of course, sometimes people do exaggerate or make things up deliberately.

  Nevertheless, if you have some decent examples of actual evidence of ghosts, I’m genuinely curious.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Tesla's flashing lights⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  I’ve been in three different apartments in my current city and I needed black out curtains to sleep in all of them.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨it's true⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  There is a tense change. The second person is saying the technique is still used by those tribes today.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Why I gave up electronics club⁩ ⁨⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  There are situations where the charge carrier is positive (e.g. a positive ion flowing in a solution)

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Why do you need a launcher? (asking older gamers actually)⁩ ⁨⁨4⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  Plenty of Steam games are DRM free and will launch just fine without Steam installed

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Why do you need a launcher? (asking older gamers actually)⁩ ⁨⁨4⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  I too prefer to buy from GoG, but I often add my GoG games to be launched through Steam as non-Steam games so I can take advantage of features like Proton and Steam Input.

  If I want to take advantage of certain features Steam only offers to games you buy through them, I will buy through Steam instead of GoG. Usually when I do this it’s for multiplayer or save file syncing reasons.

  Steam features you can use with non-Steam games:

  • provides SteamInput which allows me to use any game controller in any game with a lot of configuration options. It’s the best tool for that purpose I’ve ever seen.
  • provides Proton for playing Windows games on Linux (and I do 99% of my gaming on Linux these days)
  • provides VR headset drivers and tools for using different VR headsets with games not designed for them
  • provides a TV and controller optimized interface (“Big Picture” mode)

  Steam features exclusive to Steam games:

  • updates games automatically
  • backs up my saves and syncs them across devices
  • provides multiplayer server infrastructure making it easy to play with friends
  • provides modding infrastructure, although not all games use it
  • provides tools for managing which version of a game you have installed
• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨⁩ ⁨⁨4⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  When the weather is 100% hot outside how hot is it?

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨[deleted]⁩ ⁨⁨5⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  Yeah you should definitely get that shot if nothing else.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨[deleted]⁩ ⁨⁨5⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  The danger isn’t blood loss, it’s nasty bacteria getting deep in there. If you haven’t gotten a tetanus vaccine recently you really should go get that.

  Other than that it’s probably fine but definitely keep an eye on it. I got a minor dog bite a few years ago and it was fine just treating it with neosporin and keeping it covered with a bandage.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨People need the truth⁩ ⁨⁨5⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  Image

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨What challenge from a game isn't worth completing and what challenge from a game is worth completing?⁩ ⁨⁨5⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago⁩:

  I’ve decided not to go after the golden strawberries in Celeste. The only other thing I’m missing is the moonberry.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Hytale is OUT NOW in early access!⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨month⁩ ago⁩:

  Notch sold the game to Microsoft long before it was ever a complete game.

  I know it’s a bit fuzzy with Minecraft since it’s constantly getting updates, but I find the claim that Minecraft was “incomplete” before selling it to Microsoft is a big stretch.

  Version “1.0” came out 3 years before the Microsoft sale, and at least to me, the game felt “complete” long before 1.0

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Alchemy is so hot right now.⁩ ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨month⁩ ago⁩:

  Mercury isn’t infinite, it just isn’t as broadly useful and valued as gold.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Peak technology ⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  A Homestuck post in the wild in 2025?

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨What is this colour?⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  Garbage

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Nat 20⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  The Venn diagram of people who play D&D and people who get excited about fancy D20s is practically a circle

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨should I go back to my old job now that several people, some of them more knowledgeable than me have told me they don't understand my decision to quit it?⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  I’d just try to understand why they feel that way to make sure you aren’t missing anything.

  Is it the pay cut? 20% sounds pretty significant to me but 2% isn’t, but in the end if you are making enough to live the way you want that’s all you need.

  Is it the career path options? That can be more complicated, but if there’s nothing you would want from “climbing the ladder” that’s up to you.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨Games you played inside video games.⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  In smash bros, turn the launch multiplier all the way up and turn on sudden death mode so everyone starts at 300%.

  Go to one of a few levels (the underground area of Hyrule Temple works, the underground area of Skyworld is better, but it’s best if you make a custom stage)

  Getting hit once will send you bouncing around the screen! You only ever loose if you get unlucky. It’s hilarious, and we call it “Pinball Mode”. I’ve made a couple custom stages to improve on the experience.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨I just 💚 them and think they're neat.⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  This is a pokemon if I’ve ever seen one

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨One man's trash is another man's garbage⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  I think for the Mac icons here I like the 2001 variant.

• ⁨Comment⁩ on ⁨One man's trash is another man's garbage⁩ ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩:

  It peaked in 2006