yarr
@yarr@feddit.nl
- Comment on Do people really think setting up domestic manufacturing in the USA is easy? 13 hours ago:
I see a lot of people saying “someone will build factories” and a lot less people saying “I will pay to build that factory”
- Comment on Do people really think setting up domestic manufacturing in the USA is easy? 13 hours ago:
And we haven’t even addressed the whole reason manufacturing left in the first place. It’s so much cheaper to do it overseas, even accounting for shipping.
Well, I think the idea is that with the tariffs this will no longer be true. There will be a Chinese widget that cost $5 from China with $90 of tariffs on it (making it $95 to the end user) and an American product that costs $55. That American one is only cheaper in a tariff’d world.
- Comment on Do people really think setting up domestic manufacturing in the USA is easy? 13 hours ago:
Yeah, this is a great point. A fully automated car company in the USA is great for those who want to buy cars, but for those who want a job building cars, it does nothing. The observation that these NEW firms would be set up with massive automation makes perfect intuitive sense to me, because who’d invest in a brand new manufacturing firm and use last century technology to do so?
- Comment on Do people really think setting up domestic manufacturing in the USA is easy? 13 hours ago:
I find it increasingly hard to tell the difference between a mastermind playing 7D chess with the world, and someone just acting randomly and implementing all kinds of policies at a whim.
- Submitted 14 hours ago to [deleted] | 36 comments
- Comment on ‘Snow White’, Poisoned By Controversy At Box Office, Won’t Have A Happy Ending With $115M Loss: What Went Wrong 1 day ago:
3 out of how many though?
- Comment on ‘Snow White’, Poisoned By Controversy At Box Office, Won’t Have A Happy Ending With $115M Loss: What Went Wrong 1 day ago:
Why is Hollywood hell bent on not creating original IP ever again? It seems like every movie is either a sequel, a reboot, a reimagining, etc. Does anyone just sit down and say “Hey, let’s create a brand new story with new characters and new ideas!”
Could it be that we are tired of seeing the same old stories with some “controversial” changes and then months of press complaining about people wanting to see or not wanting to see it?
It couldn’t be my imagination that in the 90s there were way less sequels/reboots.
- Comment on How do the Republicans feel about Project 2025 now? 1 week ago:
Project 2025 is the most double talky I’ve ever seen Donald Trump. “Project 2025? Nope, never seen it, never heard of anything in it, but it’s got some great ideas. I’m not going to follow it and I don’t have anything to do with it but I hear it has some really good ideas, but I won’t be adhering to them.”
Reminds me of the “Unite The Right” rally where he wouldn’t really condemn anyone: “Those folks are really nasty, but also there’s a lot of good folks.”
I think this is part of his “charm”. He double talks, so if you are a fan you perk up on the positives and let your eyes glass over during the bad parts.
- Comment on Why is Jury Nullification a Thing, But You Can’t Talk About It in Court? 2 weeks ago:
If you believe someone is good and they decided to do something against the law but for good reasons, are you going to punish that person?
The answer is: some people put the law ahead of any kind of moral code they may have. Those people would be hesitant to contradict the law in such an instance.
- Submitted 3 weeks ago to [deleted] | 43 comments
- Comment on I'll give 100% when I work for a co-op that is equally owned by all the workers. 3 weeks ago:
I always give 100 percent of what I get paid. Minimum wage equals minimum effort.
That seems acceptable, but I’m not sure what that does for your chances of promotion. Typically people move up by doing more than they are obligated to do.
- Comment on How do you feel about someone taking the coins people tossed into a fountain or other public waterworks display for "wishes?" 3 weeks ago:
That’s why I wish someone would steal my coin right before I throw it in. It’s win-win
- Comment on Is anyone else getting a bit of schadenfreude from the news each day? 3 weeks ago:
I mean, statistically at least ONE person must…
- Comment on tig ol bitties 4 weeks ago:
I’ve always thought my defining characteristic was my nipples.
- Comment on Make your complaints heard about bad games, says Dragon Age veteran Mark Darrah, but "your $70 doesn't buy you cruelty" 5 weeks ago:
That game made me realize I was non-buy-nary.
- Comment on Is anyone else getting a bit of schadenfreude from the news each day? 5 weeks ago:
Why do you get multi-millionaires voting for a president who doesn’t help them?
Who does NOT help them? Have you seen the proposed tax cuts? If you’re in those upper tax brackets with the amount of money you’d save it’s probably hard NOT to vote for him. The rich are just about the only group Trump does care about.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
Yep… and they are one of the market leaders. Imagine the margins on some of the other players and you get in the red pretty quick.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
I did notice how many “crypto influencers” are conveniently re-branded and not selling NFT anymore… they are all selling things like “Improve your business with AI! Take my course!”
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
it just has to show revenue and rapid growth
Yeah, that’s kind of the point. There’s so much money leveraged on it right now that if the revenue and/or growth doesn’t materialize soon the limited patience of the investors will expire and the money is going to disappear.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
I won’t say AI does nothing. I’d say they do a similar amount right now. In the same way that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies do a few million transactions a day, AI helps with some tasks here and there. The similarity for me is that initially both technologies were hyped as something far larger than they are right now.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
My last job was at a video game studio and it was kinda eyeopening the amount of generic story boarding / art work they would send over to Eastern Europe / Asia to be done for cheap.
Sure, but don’t you have to like work with those guys, give them a brief on what to do, provide feedback do revisions and all that. By the time there is an AI as good as those Eastern Europe fellows, it’ll be smart enough to do a lot more than storyboards. I see a lot of people reducing a field to one of its activities.
Let me put it this way, if I gave a business a magic box that all you had to do was explain your problem and it generates perfect code, they’d still have problems. Because we have those boxes today, they’re called software engineers, and there’s a lot more work that has to be done besides just typing in the code. Business people aren’t sure what to ask for, how to ask for it, how to get it done, etc. All that mushy soft stuff in the middle is why you have developers making a decent payday, because it’s a lot of work and not at all easy to just hand to ChatGPT.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
Asking what AI is going to do for the average person in 1-3 years is like asking what is the PC going to do for the average person in 1980.
If you were a PC startup in 1980, this was very a relevant question, since PCs at home really didn’t take off in a big way until the web which was almost 20 years later. Look at how many PC manufacturers went out of business between 1980-2000. This is kind of my point, AI is so over-invested right now that if there are not HUGE returns in a short timeframe, there’s going to be some serious blood out there.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
How does a junior become an expert in that world?
They don’t.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
Tech workers, artists and other industries have long had to compete with work being sent overseas. Now it’s even cheaper and faster.
This is the part I don’t entirely see eye-to-eye with you on. Right now, AI is eating the extreme low end of the work… for example, if someone needs a picture for their article, they might generate it with AI instead of buy stock illustrations from a real person.
If someone is making a site on WIX for their new business, that leverages AI too, but just for simple stuff.
By the time AI is able to do those jobs full stop, then I’ll have a worry. “Serious” artists do a heck of a lot more than just sit down with a pen. They go visit clients, figure out what to do, research, negotiate with other people at the business, etc. Same thing with developers. They aren’t just typing in code all day, they are meeting with other departments, figuring out requirements, etc. None of that is easy or quick. By the time you have an AI smart enough to either do 95% of a developer’s job or 95% of an artists’ job, it will be smart enough to do nearly every other job in America. If the same AI also comes with humanoid robots that can reason about their environment and move things around, then you’re also risking a lot of labor jobs, like picking in a warehouse. However, unlike proponents of AI I think all of the above is decades away, not years away. If it’s really decades away, you can kiss the current round of AI startups goodbye because they won’t exist by that point.
For many, many, many of the AI startups today, if they don’t start showing a profit within 1-3 years they are GONE. Part of showing a profit is being useful, and I think outside of little niches here and there, the amount of money getting poured into it does not in any way resemble the money coming out of it.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
3D printing.
RIGHT! Good call! I almost forgot those NBC segments “Joe goes to the store now, but in the future he’ll simply 3D print a new sofa at home.” Followed by b-roll of misshapen plastic cubes. Needless to say, that didn’t work out. In what I am finding to be a pattern, 3D printing did find some usages here and there, but last time I checked, they’re not in daily use by consumers.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
A lot will fail yes, but I think there’s actually a lot of value in AI and many will succeed. Blockchain has always been a solution in search of a problem, but AI actually can help in a lot of ways.
Well, what are those ways and when can we expect to see them? I keep hearing that “oh yeah, the very NEXT version of AI will do your job for you” but it always seems to be on the way. In the same way I can use blockchain tech for a few things here and there, I can use AI in the same way today. However, with all these billions and billions of dollars getting invested into AI right now, how will it change the average person’s life in 1 - 3 years? I use that scale of time because that’s pretty much how long startup runways last. If they don’t turn a profit in that time frame, they go to the big AI graveyard in the sky.
- Comment on Will AI Startups End Up Like Blockchain Startups? 5 weeks ago:
I was racking my brains for hype that goes further back… before blockchain there was mobile phones / apps getting hyped (although the whole world DOES use a phone, so I guess there’s that) and then before that was web, but I don’t think either of those bubbles were quite as insane as blockchain / AI in terms of “what they promised vs. what we got”.
- Submitted 5 weeks ago to [deleted] | 53 comments
- Comment on Is anyone else getting a bit of schadenfreude from the news each day? 5 weeks ago:
Oh alright, I thought you were like ringing a bell and saying “WE NEED A MODERATOR HERE!”
- Comment on Is anyone else getting a bit of schadenfreude from the news each day? 5 weeks ago:
I have to assume that most of these “swindled” people were low-information voters
I’m sorry, if you’re a low information voter in the information age, you are getting what you deserve. How many of these people share links on Facebook with memes that can be disproven with a 5 minute visit to the library? This is the “science is fake” crowd I’m talking about. They are constantly surrounded by information and turn up their nose at it. They are proud to be ignorant. Well, there’s a real cost to being ignorant, and that cost is being swindled by con-men. The very same con-men will blame things on Biden, and I’m sure not 100% of the voters will wake up, but they didn’t want to listen before and they made this bed. Now we ALL have to lie in it.