I wonder if there will be a point after the bubble bursts that RAM will be cheaper than it’s ever been due to the fact that “demand” have seemingly fallen off a cliff for them between when they sold out and when the bubble finally pops.
Market efficiency
Submitted 13 hours ago by cm0002@mander.xyz to memes@sopuli.xyz
https://lemmy.ml/pictrs/image/1dc16e28-ffe4-4d20-8ab4-9ad617d695df.png
Comments
DaedalousIlios@pawb.social 9 hours ago
merc@sh.itjust.works 8 hours ago
If the RAM they were building for the datacenters was identical to the RAM for PCs, then maybe. Instead, I think they’ll have to slowly switch back to making regular PC RAM, and the shortages will continue.
What seems possible is China intervening. RAM isn’t as difficult to produce as other chips, so it’s possible they might spin up fabs and factories to supply their own domestic market, and eventually start exporting too. Currently 90%+ of RAM is made by Micron (USA), SK Hynix (South Korea) and Samsung (South Korea). China doesn’t like to depend on other countries, and it probably has the capacity to manufacture RAM. And, it probably knows that if it gets good at making RAM it has a good chance at outcompeting the other 3 in the long run. So, I don’t expect any short term fixes, but in the long run this might mean cheaper RAM with a 4th major supplier.
autriyo@feddit.org 5 hours ago
They’re already spinning up fabs since a few years ago, and they’re not that far behind. Gamers Nexus did a video on that topic a few weeks ago…
phoenixz@lemmy.ca 11 hours ago
I don’t get it. Are hardware manufacturers that short sighted? This will blow over and when it does, good luck getting back the customers nyhat kept your lights on for the past decades
CaptDust@sh.itjust.works 11 hours ago
Are computers and phones going to stop needing RAM? Consumers are kind of a captive market as long as we want to keep computing.
I find it much more likely the data giants will begin to redirect and push cloud subscription PCs - end consumers simply won’t have access to new memory.
MonkderVierte@lemmy.zip 8 hours ago
But the companies building phones, cars, etc. need to look somewhere else too. And they won’t just switch back later.
ThePantser@sh.itjust.works 12 hours ago
Confused how Nvidia hasn’t just started making its own RAM at this point. They have the money to spin up the production.
Cort@lemmy.world 11 hours ago
Same reason ram manufacturers aren’t building new production lines. Everyone knows this is a bubble, and when it pops the production from those extra facilities would be surplus and drive down the cost of RAM even further. They’re milking it for all it’s worth without investing any extra time or money.
ZonenRanslite@feddit.org 10 hours ago
I hope you are right.
how_we_burned@lemmy.zip 6 hours ago
Also spinning up a new fab, even for RAM will take several years and major investment (billions).
Ideally they should have begun planning back in 2022-2023 when LLMS first came to market.
They’ve missed a huge opportunity to profit.