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femboy_bird@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

My predictions for this fall and beyond:

1: someone is going to win

2: the supporters of the other side are going to throw a hissy fit

3: China moves on Taiwan

4: US gets involved in asia, and russia tries to expand its influence only to be kicked in the balls by the EU or some part of it, possibly followed by a war between liberal western Europe and the conservative eastern Europe, Israel does whatever tf they want to the middle east

5: tens of millions of people die

6: US and China both end up breaking down under the weight of the logistically impossible war

7: both countries have a revolution and a regime change

7a: US ends with some sort of protofascist clusterfuck of a democratic dictatorship

7b: China either ends up with another authoritarian dictatorship but claiming to be something like the empires of old or a democratically elected republic that is rife with corruption from the start

Bonus: sometime somewhere russia maybe tries to take alaska but gets mauled by a polar bear with a 50 cal pistol

I hope I’m wrong, and if you think that I am, lmk why

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Valmond@lemmy.world ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
You got some right, but some clearly wrong IMO 😊

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Nevoic@lemm.ee ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
I don’t think revolutions are any more likely to be fascist than socialist, historically though genuine socialist revolutions tend to lose, mostly because international capitalism can play very nicely with fascism, but not socialism.

However if the U.S underwent genuine socialist revolutions, it’s an entirely different ballgame. The U.S has been the capitalist hand on the global stage for the better part of a century, constantly involved in overthrowing democratically elected governments in favor of fascist dictatorships.

With that constant capitalistic/fascistic pressure gone, and better-yet replaced with genuine socialism, you’d get a very interesting situation. You’d have genuine socialism in the U.S (probably followed by at least some socialist revolution or socialist-inspired reforms in Europe), and then rhetorical socialism in the east, marred by material capitalism. The contradictions of the global stage would intensify, and I don’t think there’s any Chinese theory for development in an internationally socialist stage.

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Maggoty@lemmy.world ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
Lmao, does it count if we gave the polar bears the pistol?

But also, we absolutely have the infrastructure for a logistically challenging war. We’ve been quietly bringing back critical manufacturing industries specifically so we can do another total war economy.

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nyctre@lemmy.world ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
By conservative eastern Europe you mean russia/belarus?

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- femboy_bird@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
  Russia and Belarus aren’t conservative, they are a weird crony fascism, when i say conservative I mean catholic neotheocracy (like Hungary)
  
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- femboy_bird@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
  No, i mean Poland, Hungary, Austria, Czechia, Slovakia, and Romania, if there was a war in Europe between Eastern and Western Europe, Belarus and Russia would already have been defeated
  
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  - nyctre@lemmy.world ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
    Sure, those are relatively conservative countries (but some are even more imo: I’d argue Greece is more conservative than many of those. Same for Serbia. Italy’s got a far right government even but is less conservative in other regards)
    
    And Romania and Slovakia I’m pretty sure would never side with the conservatives.
    
    On top of all that, that’s not gonna happen. To me at least it sounds like the most far fetched prediction. By far.
    
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anonymouse@sh.itjust.works ⁨7⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago
Sorry to say, but you’re right

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