Gorgritch_umie_killa
@Gorgritch_umie_killa@aussie.zone
- Comment on A majority of Australians support banning pro-Palestine marches 21 hours ago:
If they can get a representative sample then 1000 to 2000 is pretty good, and somewhat industry standard. Using statistical analyses on larger samples will only marginally improve quality of results. A key trick is to gain a representative enough sample, and 1000 to 2000 people tends to be enough to cover most segments/divisions of a population that are useful.
I’ve been reading the Foundation series by Isaac Asimov recently and its incredible how well he explained the predictability of large groups of humans. Modern statisticians are mostly a humble lot, having all been proved wrong many a time, but they all know that we can be fairly predictable on a population level. Listen to or read Nate Silver, Ben Raue, or Antony Green probably some of the most well known in our context of “Australians influenced heavily by US politics” all know they know things, but are fairly humble in their pronouncements about things, contrast this with lifestyle podcasters or most journalists and you’ll see what I mean.
To put another way, a lot of statistical analysis is built off averaging and predicting those measures of central tendencies, which after a certain size is reached vary little with more size, so once you reach a fair size sample the most important, and increasingly tricky part is finding its representative. I think a famous story of this is the readers digest polls who were famously highly reliable, until circulation or readership decreased and suddenly the reliability plummeted.
- Comment on A majority of Australians support banning pro-Palestine marches 1 day ago:
Yep, thats not a bad number to get for a poll.
I’m probably more worried about the speed in which they’ve put this together. So close to the event which they readily admit has made the results deviate from a normal results, which is the whole intention behind putting this out now. They can then assess the drop off in support as the event gets further back in time, and intervening events have their effect.
But the speed is also a concern because they’ve had to do this over the xmas period, when a lot more people are less available. So i have a concern about how representative they were able to make it. I’m sure they tried, resolve has a reasonable reputation for polling, but given the time period for responses it isn’t ideal.
- Comment on A majority of Australians support banning pro-Palestine marches 1 day ago:
16% of this Nation would be over 4 million people, so its possible both can be true.
- Comment on Israeli president invited to visit Australia after Bondi shooting 4 days ago:
For people wishing to contact the Prime Minister with your thoughts this is the communication channel indicated,
- Comment on Israeli president invited to visit Australia after Bondi shooting 4 days ago:
These people are committing a genocide! And we’re inviting their head of State here?? What the actual fuck is wrong with us!
- Comment on Israeli president invited to visit Australia after Bondi shooting 4 days ago:
Why exactly! As soon as he steps off the plane he will be acting to divide this nation to the benefit of his own. This is an Australian tragedy, no matter the outside influences of the actors themselves we are talking about Australians. It would cost Labor politically, but he should not be allowed entry.
- Comment on Massacre as political theatre: our shameful national response to Bondi | Amy Remeikis 6 days ago:
I’m glad people are speaking and writing about this. I’m finding it hard to put into words why i’m so disappointed by my country’s reaction to this massacre.
I think, to his credit, Albanese saw the connections that would be made and sought in that first speech on that Sunday night to temporally distance this tragedy from the genocide in Gaza. It might’ve been a futile effort, but he tried so hard in that moment to bring all Australians together, for Australians to reject the malign outside influence of an unstable world, to deal with our problems and disagreements here with compassion.
In this way i think Australia has failed the PM.
- Comment on Child mortality: an everyday tragedy of enormous scale that we can make progress against 3 weeks ago:
In Australia’s case its a choice newsrooms make. Even if we don’t concentrate on Africa, which we should.
Shall we spend the next 24 hours talking about the latest violent shark attack? Or the admittedly interesting, mushroom murderer but for the 100th time. Did we need to know quite that much?
- 650,000 deaths in 2023 for children under 5 years old in Oceania. Thats our region, they’re our neighbours, Australia has a recognisable benefit to helping our neighbours. Its not purely altruism, these are the lines even the Murdoch media with their endless cultural emergencies could run with.
Reduce immigration? Help children survive, its directly correlated with economic prosperity. It can be such a ‘right-wing’ project its absurd they cede that political ground to the ‘left’.
- Child mortality: an everyday tragedy of enormous scale that we can make progress againstourworldindata.org ↗Submitted 3 weeks ago to worldnews@aussie.zone | 1 comment
- Comment on As of December 10th, You need to be sixteen to use Aussie.Zone 3 weeks ago:
Na, its to pop a cultural crisis balloon the media was blowing up last year.
There will be some tangential benefits, i think the no alcohol before 18 is a good analogy, the only problem is there can be some benefits to social media, whereas theres not a really an upside to alcohol.
But largely its due to talk-back wankers, and the Government not wanting a distracting fake cultural crisis. Commercial media in this country suck large round ones.
Anyway, thats my view.
- Comment on Merry Christmas, James 🎄 3 weeks ago:
😆
- Comment on Merry Christmas, James 🎄 3 weeks ago:
Okay, i’ve looked at this a few times, i don’t get it.
- Comment on As of December 10th, You need to be sixteen to use Aussie.Zone 3 weeks ago:
Is there going to be a spike in alcohol sales because of this ban?
Could i even say… beer and pints… to the moon?!? 🌜🪙🍺💱🍻💲🌛
Watch out bars of Australia! Here comes the Lemmy wave!
- Comment on As of December 10th, You need to be sixteen to use Aussie.Zone 3 weeks ago:
- Comment on Genocide in Gaza in international law 3 weeks ago:
Below UWA Associate Professor of Internaitional Law Dr Melanie O’Brien describes the actions Israel committed evidencing genocide.
^Note: There are a lot of links throughout the piece on the website if you want more info about a claim it likely has a link provided. Visit the website.^
The report details evidence from two years of investigation, referring in detail to actions also previously assessed by organisations, experts and scholars to determine that Israel is committing genocide. These actions include killing members of the group: extensive killing of civilians (including children), who make up the majority of those killed in Gaza, thereby indicating that the attacks are not self-defence nor justified by military necessity or proportionality (at the time of writing, almost 65,000 people have been killed). People have been killed by bombing and shooting.
Starvation is being used as a method of warfare, and is also a significant component of the genocidal conduct. Many Palestinians have died from starvation, malnutrition, thirst or disease. This is due to the denial of food, water, sanitation and healthcare to the Palestinians in Gaza. This amounts to the genocide crime of deliberately inflicting conditions of life calculated to bring about the group’s physical destruction, and are acts that my research on previous genocides has determined is a key part of the genocide process.
The genocide crime of causing serious bodily or mental harm is also being committed. Over 163,000 injuries have been reported from the violence, and the health impacts of malnutrition will be long-term. Reports demonstrate the significant trauma experienced by residents of Gaza from the ongoing violence, death and fear of death.
Israel is also imposing measures intended to prevent births, the fourth crime of genocide. This is carried out through systematic sexual and gender-based violence, and substantial harm to the reproductive capacity of girls and women due to the starvation and lack of sanitation and healthcare. The destruction of maternal healthcare has increased the number of miscarriages and childbirth complications. The Commission of Inquiry highlighted an attack on a fertility clinic that contained over 4000 embryos.
- Submitted 3 weeks ago to worldnews@aussie.zone | 1 comment
- Comment on 'Dirty, disgusting money': The heiress giving away her entire fortune 3 weeks ago:
Citizen’s Assemblies, we Aussies gotta get this train.
- Submitted 3 weeks ago to worldnews@aussie.zone | 3 comments
- Comment on I can agree Pauline Hanson is a problematic individual, but did they have to ban her from the Australian senate just for that one stunt with that burqa? I have more questions than we started out with. 4 weeks ago:
Good addition. I’ve taken the screenshot because people need to read this. The video linked is fairly misleading due to its overblown language.
- Comment on 'Lions of Zion' group event celebrating Israel's pager attacks condemned 4 weeks ago:
There is no apartheid. Gaza and Israel are two separate countries
Wow, they’re two separate countries?!?
Somebody better tell the rest of the world…
UN Secretary-General António Guterres noted that “the central question for Middle East peace is implementation of the two-State solution, where two independent, sovereign, democratic States – Israel and Palestine – live side-by-side in peace and security.” news.un.org/en/story/2025/09/1165835
within Israel
Hold on, i’ve not kept abrest of this, wheres that border now? Funny how it keeps changing to suit Israel.
- Comment on 'Lions of Zion' group event celebrating Israel's pager attacks condemned 4 weeks ago:
Yeah, i thought thats what you were going for, i’s just not going to go along with the phrasing.
- Comment on 'Lions of Zion' group event celebrating Israel's pager attacks condemned 4 weeks ago:
Deny the evidence of your eyes and ears.
Why don’t you read the article, where they state the operation has been labelled a war crime, or read the link u/eureka@aussie.zone provided.
What the Israelis are doing to Palestinians is not right. They’re persecuting and killing to terrorise and dominate; Israel can choose a different path, they should choose a different path for their own conscience.
The other side (Palestinians, Iranians, Lebanese, etc) doesn’t matter its not a competition about who is the bigger terrorist. If Israel say they’re alligned with liberal western values then they have to live alongside those. Try reading some John Stuart Mill and comparing his (and probably his partners) words to Israeli actions. Life makes hypocrites of us all, but at every point we can choose to live by better principles. But they don’t.
- Comment on 'Lions of Zion' group event celebrating Israel's pager attacks condemned 4 weeks ago:
Well, i wouldn’t put Oct 7th in a positive light, that was horrific also, if not surprising that an outburst of hatred like that might occur considering the apartheid living conditions.
But yes, if you’re saying theres a lack of recognition of equivalency in the levels of barbarity in these crimes, i very much agree. It seems a large portion of the Israeli especially and other Western alliance countries are maintaining a glaring double-think that goes against the professed liberal values of these nations.
- Comment on Favourite (least hated) and Most Hated Prime Ministers ? 4 weeks ago:
Yeah true! Fuck, how did i forget that! Theres even that new school over Subi way.
- Comment on 'Lions of Zion' group event celebrating Israel's pager attacks condemned 4 weeks ago:
Government needs to get a lid on this. This example of organising in this way for the benefit of a foreign entity on Australian soil is worse than the Confucius Institutes.
It doesn’t matter that they’re a putitive ally, or, on the other side of the coin, that these people are supposedly celebrating a cunning but disgusting (in its untargeted nature) intelligence operation. For Australian sovereign risk reasons we need to stamp out this Israeli State* organising just like we must with other countrys when they do this.
*I mean these people’s action to the benefit of the Israeli State, they don’t necessarily have to be proved to be State actors themselves for this to be a sovereign risk.
- Comment on Favourite (least hated) and Most Hated Prime Ministers ? 4 weeks ago:
If its only while i’ve been alive, then i think its going to be Albanese. I know its early, but they’re delivering in meaningful and long term ways. Something i can’t claim to have experienced.
Turnbull was rat-fucked by his own party from the beginning, but given clear air could have put the nation on the right track earlier, and was instrumental in diversifying Australia’s media landscape, and proving that the Liberals can’t ignore climate change, or authoritarianism some things that Party is still trying to figure out.
I’s too young for Keating and Hawke, they seemed good, but my lifes challenges are fundamentally different to the challenges of their leadership tenures.
If i had my choice overall, then maybe,
John Curtin
Set Australia on the path of rational balancing between great powers to enact an independent path. Ostensibly for WW2 but it might’ve been for more.
He hated Keith Murdoch, and his dictatorial practices over media. Fuck the Murdochs. I actually know a different Murdoch family, lovely people. #notallmurdochs
He’s the only WA PM. West coast best coast baby!!
And did a fair number of things like follow a Keynesian full employment goal, exapansion of social state type stuff.
- Comment on The opposition has been allowed to set the agenda. It’s an absurd situation that is debasing national politics | Julianne Schultz 4 weeks ago:
There’s no silver bullet, you need a hail of pellets
Yeah, i’ve definitely got more time for the build up over time arguments. Most electorates it seems don’t, but i hope theres enough goodwill and prosperity left in the Australian electorate to allow for solid, well made change to occur.
- Comment on The opposition has been allowed to set the agenda. It’s an absurd situation that is debasing national politics | Julianne Schultz 4 weeks ago:
Yeah okay, i knew someone would call me out on that. I wrote that off the top of my head, cost of living and housing are definitely not in that list of big moves. I’d argue there are only incremental changes that can be made in those areas.
Did the writer even mention those herself? Seems like an oversight for the opinion piece. Because are the Coalition really driving the narrative on housing and cost of living? No, they’ve been absent since the election. I suppose my problem is the writer’s narrative feels a bit shoehorned.
- Comment on The opposition has been allowed to set the agenda. It’s an absurd situation that is debasing national politics | Julianne Schultz 5 weeks ago:
Incremental? Incremental?
The Labor government are focusing on delivery, and they’re delivering. Off the top of my head,
They’re expanding security partnerships across the indo-pacific, with the Papua New Guinean one possibly being the most consequential since New Zealand. That deal is a huge step forward in that relationship.
They’re pushing the economy into clean energy, rare earths, and climbing the value chain for things like green iron, fantastically complicated and long term projects that could set this nation up for generations to come. But thats supposedly incremental.
Rail transport sytems are being massivley upgraded in at least Perth, Melbourne, and Sydney. I know these are State led, but federal money will be being kicked in. The Budapest metro subway was opened in 1890 and is still being used. But trains here are tiny steps along the line of development, they’ll hardly make a lasting impression.
Schultz focuses on immigration as the Coal-ition agenda setting, this will always be slightly uncomfortable for Labour, but right now? Its less so, they’ve responded to the perceived demands of a swathe of the public and have brought numbers down by tens of thousands, they have sound reasoning for the post COVID peak. And in that same time period the Coalition won’t even commit to a number to argue is sustainable. Its a simple task to make the comparison of responsiveness in delivery versus another culture war. She also completely misses the media’s role in the agenda setting.
Things are changing in this country in a big, big way. The angle this writer has taken made sense during Morrison’s term or before, and even then i’d give Morrison a pass on this front due to COVID.
Incremental… pffft
- Comment on BREAKING: Trump's New Ukraine Peace Plan is a DISASTER 5 weeks ago:
If you’re so great at this lead by example. POST MORE!! Show me how its done, my upvote button is ready. In fact theres a great community that you should love, seeing as you like reading and only reading so much, c/rtfa, great little community project thats all but abandoned. Probably because people like me don’t have the time to always be reading everything, alla i posted a podcast today.
If you want the rule changed disallowing podcasts on this community talk to the mods, until then suck it up. Besides that, its a legitimate form of information dissemination, no matter what you think of the medium.
There are more news organisations out there than Guardian and ABC, you don’t need to implicitly trust an outlet, remain skeptical but open. If you think a piece, (be it article, podcast, video, or even an opera) hasn’t got correct information, make a comment calling attention to that content. But you can’t do that because you haven’t listened to it, and you’re just randomly hating on the medium in general, which is an absurdity.
The sources are, US gov, Russian gov, Ukrainian gov, and translator the podcasters used, i’m sure theres more. They’re reacting to a plan that should be quite easy for you to find. Google it mate.
I would block you, but i want to see if you actually start posting more. Shit be a partner mod with me on the podcast community idea, seems like there’d fireworks in the comment sections!
