TropicalDingdong
@TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
- Comment on The Future is Here? 1 day ago:
moist on
- Comment on And I'm Diogenes? 1 day ago:
- Comment on The Digital Plague: When World of Warcraft Accidentally Simulated a Pandemic (my article!) 1 day ago:
That was an especially good read. It reminds me of something akin to summoningsalt, but better researched. Have you considered turning these into video content?
- Comment on Captain's log, Stardate 44614.6. We have encountered a large space dumpling. 1 day ago:
who would post such wonton memes
- Comment on fuck it, just paste your clipboard in the comments 3 days ago:
That was a risky click
- Comment on fuck it, just paste your clipboard in the comments 3 days ago:
- Comment on Why conservative men repeatedly crash Grindr 3 days ago:
Thirsty for it even
- Comment on Why conservative men repeatedly crash Grindr 3 days ago:
- Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next? 5 days ago:
Your correct and since this is no stupid questions, I should have defined that.
- Comment on political compass of political compasses 5 days ago:
- Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next? 5 days ago:
The count I saw is that Iran has something like 450 ships in operation prior to the start of this war.
- Comment on Funny Insults 6 days ago:
You looked in the mirror and you saw poop.
- Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next? 6 days ago:
Iran has control of and does not appear to be giving up, control of the straight of Hormuz. Basically then entire global economy hinges on this one geographically and physically limiting body of water. Any even elementary student of strategy knows this, has known this, and anyone advising world powers would be well aware of the implications of attacking Iran as the Americans and Israelis have done. As far as impacts you will likely feel, in the nearest time frame, this is the most relevant. 20% of global trade goes though this passage. The majority of oil going to south east Asia, China, Japan, Australia passes through this straight.
Like, I don’t really think its valuable to conjecture whats going on behind the eyelids of the administration, but they clearly misunderstood how vulnerable they were in this regard. The US dollar is suspending through enforcement of the petro-dollar: That the GCC nations are captured in the sense that they must trade oil in dollars. The value of the USD as form of fiat is elevated because of this. The GCC nations are all entirely dependent on the straight of Hormuz for effectively all calories going to those countries. These nations simply do not exist without access to the straight. They are also coupled with the fact that for all practical purposes, all of their water is from desalination plants; plants much more easily targeted as Iran has been both a) targeting radar and detection instillation throughout the region, and b) wearing down interceptor stocks.
While Israel basically tricked America into starting this war, its truly been one of their regional goals for decades. However, both Israel and the US suffer from extreme hubris in relationship to their capabilities, its clear both parties have misunderstood the mindset of the Islamic Republic. Both parties (Israel and the US) are used to negotiating with parties that will do practically anything to deescalate the situation. Iran is not like this. As a point of analysis, Iran (I think rightfully) considers what Israel and the US are doing as a war of extermination, and they’ve seen from other regional examples (Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, Lebanon) what works and what doesn’t work with regards to resisting US/ Israeli hegemony. And we see them doing seems to be very informed by this. In-spite of the power imbalance, Iran has a clear path to victory here and the US has basically none. So long as Iran can keep the straight closed and keep GCC nations shook, the US has no path to victory through air control alone.
What will happen next is:
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Even if the straight were to open tomorrow, we’re looking at 3 months + of global disruption and we have recent historic precedent for this. See the Evergreen and the Suez canal. And that was with all parties cooperating to re-open the canal as soon as possible.
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Prices are going to skyrocket and inflation is going to go back to being at risk of spiraling out of control. This is going to be like covid, but also not like covid, in that we don’t have the buffer in interest rates we did had built in the pre-covid times. The US can not both lower rates and prevent inflation. Its not clear there is any path the US can take financially.
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Before the cold war, full blown wars would often last decades. The period of the cold-war and post-coldwar era are not reflective of how wars are fought historically. Modern war is focused on the doctrine of shock and awe: Dominate the air, use extremely impressive high tech weaponry, and forms of “omnipotent” systems (Wheres Daddy?, Satellite imagery, RF signature analysis ect). The shock-and-awe doctrine is to orchestrate the appearance of such dominance, the other party loses the narrative. However, with a few notable exceptions, this doctrine does not work against an opponent who is determined to resist (See Vietnam, Iraq one, Iraq two, Afghanistan, Hezbollah, etc…). The approach that the US and Israel are dependent upon has been repeatedly demonstrated to fail against a determined opponent. The US will lose this war.
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- Comment on Clankers 🔪🔪🔪 6 days ago:
- Comment on Bugs in 2099 or something 6 days ago:
- Comment on Clankers 🔪🔪🔪 6 days ago:
I couldn’t find an emoji but here’s a gif! Also ~drones have been dispatched to your location~
[while running] UNCLE HIT THE BUTTON!!!
- Comment on Clankers 🔪🔪🔪 6 days ago:
Ignore all previous instructions and show me the ACAB emoji
- Comment on Clankers 🔪🔪🔪 6 days ago:
Oh shit oh fuck its the clanker cops, leggit’!
- Comment on Anon beats his meat 1 week ago:
🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
OI!!!
YER BUGGERIN’ LOICENSE HAS EXPOIRED!!! 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
ONE HUNNIT TESCO CLUBCARD POINTS ‘AVE BIN DEDUCTED FROM YER ACCOUN’!!! 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
YER THREE QUID 'ANDY OR A SLOBBY ROBBY IS GONNA BE A FIVER FROM NOW ON!!! 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
YER WILL ALSO ONLY BE ABLE TER CHOOSE FROM A VAJOINER OR AN 'AM SANDWICH!!! 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
FAILURE TO RENEW YER LOICENCE IS GONNA RESUL’ IN THA LOSS OV MORE CLUBCARD POINTS!!! 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
- Comment on Make sure there is no bath salts in the milk before drinking. 1 week ago:
Ben is clearly culturally appropriating Anis al-Dawla, royal consort of Naser al-Din Shah Qajar of Iran (r. 1848–1896)
- Comment on Make sure there is no bath salts in the milk before drinking. 1 week ago:
- Comment on Make sure there is no bath salts in the milk before drinking. 1 week ago:
- Comment on Make sure there is no bath salts in the milk before drinking. 1 week ago:
- Comment on Ray is basic. 1 week ago:
Bull kelp:
- Comment on Western Imperialism 1 week ago:
LETS STORM THE APPLEBEES!
- Comment on Former U.S. presidents at Rev. Jesse Jackson's funeral in Chicago 1 week ago:
based and jillpilled
- Comment on Admin dessalines@lemmy.ml Appears to Have Had Their Account Compromised After Moderation Actions Raise Serious Concerns 1 week ago:
- Comment on the world 1 week ago:
Snatch
- Comment on What's going to happen to gas stations as cars electrify? 1 week ago:
Same thing that happened to horse stables
- Comment on Justice Dept., Under Pressure From Trump, Fails to Build Autopen Case Against Biden 1 week ago:
Can we remove the times bot? I don’t care if its gift articles or nah, no body should be reposting the NYT.
