TropicalDingdong
@TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
- Comment on 27 minutes ago:
mMMmmm RAMBUTAN
- Comment on it's literally zero 2 hours ago:
- Comment on Everything I post is serious. 4 hours ago:
The Cinquedea:
am I a joke to you?
- Comment on I don't know if this is AI. I hope it is though. I hope that bothers you. 17 hours ago:
For setting ridiculous beauty standards regarding people’s feet
- Comment on True sense of community 17 hours ago:
Unless there is kike, some kinda Grindr app for matching the kinds of drugs you doing with like, your favorite flavor park bench…
- Comment on Replication crisis, my arse 18 hours ago:
Gotta do it in random order.
- Comment on True sense of community 18 hours ago:
yeah well. I don’t decide which bench I’m going to smoke out of based on its flavor.
- Comment on True sense of community 20 hours ago:
wouldn’t taste good nor be healthy
- Comment on JD Vance's Naughty Thots 21 hours ago:
JD vance: sigh…
- Comment on Thank you for your service 22 hours ago:
C U M posting and antiboyotic pilled
- Comment on Is there still anyway to bypass Youtube "Sign in to confirm your age" bullshit in 2026? 1 day ago:
Invidious
- Comment on hey there, hot stuff 2 days ago:
The purpose of life is to take disordered stuff, and order it, for a time.
- Comment on Thia better not awaken anything in me 1 week ago:
Also me:
- Comment on If a revolution started tomorrow in the US to get rid of Trump, could the majority of society use hit and run tactics successfully? Or what would be the tactics the rebels would use? 1 week ago:
Saying “the US has unhardened infrastructure” is as obvious as saying “don’t attack Iran, they can choke off 30% of the global economy”.
Only the most obtuse and maladroit of players of the game would allow themselves to expose such glaring vulnerability.
- Comment on If a revolution started tomorrow in the US to get rid of Trump, could the majority of society use hit and run tactics successfully? Or what would be the tactics the rebels would use? 1 week ago:
The US is basically one big unhardened underbelly.
The US puts most of its effort into creating the appearance of strength rather than strength itself, and its been baked into the military doctrine since the 1950/60s with Korea. Copaganda (shows like 24 or Cops), the Military-Industrial-Film complex (Top gun, too many movies to list), comic book movies (good guys have to always do the more “moral” thing), the shock and awe doctrine; you can genuinely attach the US’s security posture almost directly to one guy: Robert McNamara. This idea of creating the appearance of the thing being as effective as the thing is fundamental to US hegemony, and its currently falling apart. The man behind the curtain was never meant to be revealed because the theatrics were supposed to be so impressive you would never even consider trying to reveal them.
Take a look at Russias invasion of Ukraine, and consider the implications of what it means to have un-hardened infrastructure. Now the US continues to believe itself to be invulnerable in this regard, but consider, what would be the implications of an oil pipeline disruption at this current moment? Trump brags about how the US is relatively secure in regards to oil production, twice as much as the next blah blah blah.
Those pipelines run for hundreds of miles basically defenseless.
- Comment on The Future is Here? 1 week ago:
moist on
- Comment on And I'm Diogenes? 1 week ago:
- Comment on The Digital Plague: When World of Warcraft Accidentally Simulated a Pandemic (my article!) 1 week ago:
That was an especially good read. It reminds me of something akin to summoningsalt, but better researched. Have you considered turning these into video content?
- Comment on Captain's log, Stardate 44614.6. We have encountered a large space dumpling. 1 week ago:
who would post such wonton memes
- Comment on fuck it, just paste your clipboard in the comments 1 week ago:
That was a risky click
- Comment on fuck it, just paste your clipboard in the comments 1 week ago:
- Comment on Why conservative men repeatedly crash Grindr 1 week ago:
Thirsty for it even
- Comment on Why conservative men repeatedly crash Grindr 1 week ago:
- Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next? 2 weeks ago:
Your correct and since this is no stupid questions, I should have defined that.
- Comment on political compass of political compasses 2 weeks ago:
- Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next? 2 weeks ago:
The count I saw is that Iran has something like 450 ships in operation prior to the start of this war.
- Comment on Funny Insults 2 weeks ago:
You looked in the mirror and you saw poop.
- Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next? 2 weeks ago:
Iran has control of and does not appear to be giving up, control of the straight of Hormuz. Basically then entire global economy hinges on this one geographically and physically limiting body of water. Any even elementary student of strategy knows this, has known this, and anyone advising world powers would be well aware of the implications of attacking Iran as the Americans and Israelis have done. As far as impacts you will likely feel, in the nearest time frame, this is the most relevant. 20% of global trade goes though this passage. The majority of oil going to south east Asia, China, Japan, Australia passes through this straight.
Like, I don’t really think its valuable to conjecture whats going on behind the eyelids of the administration, but they clearly misunderstood how vulnerable they were in this regard. The US dollar is suspending through enforcement of the petro-dollar: That the GCC nations are captured in the sense that they must trade oil in dollars. The value of the USD as form of fiat is elevated because of this. The GCC nations are all entirely dependent on the straight of Hormuz for effectively all calories going to those countries. These nations simply do not exist without access to the straight. They are also coupled with the fact that for all practical purposes, all of their water is from desalination plants; plants much more easily targeted as Iran has been both a) targeting radar and detection instillation throughout the region, and b) wearing down interceptor stocks.
While Israel basically tricked America into starting this war, its truly been one of their regional goals for decades. However, both Israel and the US suffer from extreme hubris in relationship to their capabilities, its clear both parties have misunderstood the mindset of the Islamic Republic. Both parties (Israel and the US) are used to negotiating with parties that will do practically anything to deescalate the situation. Iran is not like this. As a point of analysis, Iran (I think rightfully) considers what Israel and the US are doing as a war of extermination, and they’ve seen from other regional examples (Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, Lebanon) what works and what doesn’t work with regards to resisting US/ Israeli hegemony. And we see them doing seems to be very informed by this. In-spite of the power imbalance, Iran has a clear path to victory here and the US has basically none. So long as Iran can keep the straight closed and keep GCC nations shook, the US has no path to victory through air control alone.
What will happen next is:
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Even if the straight were to open tomorrow, we’re looking at 3 months + of global disruption and we have recent historic precedent for this. See the Evergreen and the Suez canal. And that was with all parties cooperating to re-open the canal as soon as possible.
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Prices are going to skyrocket and inflation is going to go back to being at risk of spiraling out of control. This is going to be like covid, but also not like covid, in that we don’t have the buffer in interest rates we did had built in the pre-covid times. The US can not both lower rates and prevent inflation. Its not clear there is any path the US can take financially.
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Before the cold war, full blown wars would often last decades. The period of the cold-war and post-coldwar era are not reflective of how wars are fought historically. Modern war is focused on the doctrine of shock and awe: Dominate the air, use extremely impressive high tech weaponry, and forms of “omnipotent” systems (Wheres Daddy?, Satellite imagery, RF signature analysis ect). The shock-and-awe doctrine is to orchestrate the appearance of such dominance, the other party loses the narrative. However, with a few notable exceptions, this doctrine does not work against an opponent who is determined to resist (See Vietnam, Iraq one, Iraq two, Afghanistan, Hezbollah, etc…). The approach that the US and Israel are dependent upon has been repeatedly demonstrated to fail against a determined opponent. The US will lose this war.
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- Comment on Clankers 🔪🔪🔪 2 weeks ago:
- Comment on Bugs in 2099 or something 2 weeks ago: