ji59
@ji59@hilariouschaos.com
- Comment on Random Choice in Newcomb's Paradox 4 days ago:
As other comment said, coin flips aren’t random. And it is really hard to find something truly random. For example computer random generators are based on current time, temperature,… which is chaotic enough to give us seemingly random numbers.
If you would have truly random generator, I think, it would be really bad idea to use it. Let’s assume, you would listen to it (otherwise the AI could predict you wouldn’t). Because now you have 50% chance the AI is correct, you would in average get
0.5 * 1000000 + 0.5 * 0 = 500000if choosing only one box and0.5 * 1001000 + 0.5 * 1000 = 501000if choosing both. Each could occure with 50% probability, giving500500on average. Which is for one boxes (and their main argument of average case) just over half of their expected outcome. And for two boxers, choosing both is always better then choosing at random, which is better than chossing one.This case with random generator is similar to the case Minute Physics made about someone else choosing for you.
So, overall, it is interesting strategy, but I think it is worse than choosing deterministically.
PS: I think this strategy would make the situation worse for everyone, because you undermine the trust in the AI making correct choices. It’s measured 99.99% correctness would fall towards 50%, based on how many people would do this. And trusting in the AI with 99.99% prediction rate is reasonable for one boxers. But the lower the measured probability falls, more people would switch to two boxes, which would worsen their outcome, even though AI could be almost flawless with people choosing on their own. So imagine going in as a first person, doing this, choosing two boxes based on coin, and winning big. The next person would probably choose 2 too and lose.
- Comment on Animals noticing 3 weeks ago:
I love the owl looking the other way
- Comment on send thoughts and peer review 5 weeks ago:
But what about his soul
- Comment on Epic Games needs Fortnite players to "help pay the bills" as the multi-billion-dollar company raises V-Bucks prices while making Battle Passes and Crew way worse in value 5 weeks ago:
The kids are stupid for wanting something that would make them happy? I would call that standard child behaviour. And parents are stupid for making their children happy? I’d rather be stupid than a bad parent.
- Comment on Is there any reason not to charge my laptop with a USB C phone charger? 1 month ago:
There are also supported outputs on a charger, and usually the maximum power output mode is the same as the optimal input for a laptop it came with.
- Comment on Is there any reason not to charge my laptop with a USB C phone charger? 1 month ago:
I think there should be written somewhere what the computer needs. For example 20V 3A ~ 60W. I don’t know how much voltage the super fast phone chargers have, but looking only at power isn’t enough. Just for curious readers: I noticed some annoyance with my laptop, it has 100W mode, but only with the original charger. So just plugging it into a dock with original charger attached limits the laptop to 65W only. And if I tried (mainly out of curiosity) charging with an insufficient phone charger, CPU switched to 300MHz and everything got very laggy. The same thing happened when I connected two of the USB ports together :D
- Comment on That e-mail you register when you are 13 1 month ago:
I use Vivaldi Mail provided with their browser. I switched to LibreWolf, but still use their email with minor issues (mostly it gets sometimes blocked by spam filters based on not well known domain) for years now.
- Comment on Consumerism ahhhhh moment 1 month ago:
I never said that I shouldn’t hear about it, only it shouldn’t have advertising. So recommendations by friends are helpful, so is personal experience in a store or review by trusted source. And for example, all of FOSS software doesn’t have ads for them and often is better than paid counterparts.
- Comment on Consumerism ahhhhh moment 1 month ago:
There are some exceptions, for example I still hate a company for their yt ads I saw before I figured out how to block them on phone. It has been like 6 years, the company was sold and name was changed, but I still remember to hate it and avoid it. Also, good products don’t need advertisement, so if I can remember I saw an ad for something, I’d prefer other brand.
- Comment on Instead of everyone leaving NATO, could everyone else just kick the US out? 3 months ago:
I wouldn’t say it’s that bad. NATO is only defensive, so other members have no obligation to join US wars. I admit, NATO conditions can be used to pressure members, but since everyone is hating attack on Iran or Venezuela, the influence isn’t that big. And sometimes the members fight even against each other in proxy wars, for example US vs Turkey in Syria.
- Comment on Instead of everyone leaving NATO, could everyone else just kick the US out? 3 months ago:
Because the most upvoted one thinks NATO is a good thing, but since one unreliable country cannot be kicked out, it should be replaced with another alliance with slight changes. This comment just says NATO BAD.
- Comment on How come there is not a pope without grey hair? I mean a much younger pope like 30s 40s. Really can't be that hard. You got an ocean of cardinals and priests who pretty much tell say? 4 months ago:
Gray hair have better signal to heaven
- Comment on Resources 8 months ago:
There is a soudce where the text was taken from at the bottom.