Comment on Would Kamala Harris have won the 2024 election if Latinos didn't shift hard to the right?
hendrik@palaver.p3x.de 4 weeks agoAgreed. Despite all the nuances, which are important, too. Judging by this table, the biggest blame it on white men, followed by latino men and white women.
WoahWoah@lemmy.world 4 weeks ago
Latines make up 20% of the population. They are the largest “minority” population. They make up closer to 30% of under 18 demographics. If population trends continue, they will be the largest ethnic group in the country in about 25 years. That’s three eight-year presidential terms.
They’re a minority ethnicity, but the largest one and the second-fastest growing one behind Asians, who, despite one of the lowest birth rates, have proportionally the highest rate of immigration. Trump also gained 12% in the Asian electorate as well. I would say these voting trends, if they continue, look extremely promising for Republicans in the future.
All that said, Black, Asian, and Latine men and women voters combined comprise roughly 29% of the voting public in presidential elections. White women alone comprise 38%. Latino men are 5% for comparison. White women are the largest voting demographic by far.
In 2016, 39% of white women voted for Trump. In 2020, 44% of white women voted for Trump. In 2024, 53% of white women voted for Trump.
I’m all for blaming minorities for the democrats sagging support (I’m not), but if we’re looking for someone at which to point our fingers, if white women had voted like they did in 2016 when Trump was elected the first time, every single Latino man (I realize that’s redundant) could have voted for Trump, and Harris would have still received more total votes.
BadmanDan@lemmy.world 4 weeks ago
Dude where are you getting your data? Trump won white women by 52% in 2016.
If he had lost white women like you posted, he would’ve lost the election.
WoahWoah@lemmy.world 4 weeks ago
Hmm. An article quoting Pew: “a majority of white women (53 percent) did vote for Trump in the 2024 presidential election, up from 44 percent in 2020 and 39 percent in 2016 per Pew.”
but I think you’re right, those numbers sound like all women. I’ll edit the post.