Comment on The latest Coalition scare campaign about Labor may scare itself more than voters
Ilandar@aussie.zone 3 months agoOnly 18 per cent were Coalition voters at the 2019 election. Again, you would think from some of the commentary and media coverage that the Teals got in off the back of massive amounts of disappointed Coalition voters but that’s not actually what happened. The Greens lost more voters (24 per cent) to the Teals than the Coalition, according to the study.
hanrahan@slrpnk.net 3 months ago
As a Geeen voter, I can’t even think of what sort of Green voter would Vote Teal instead, they’re night and day apart?
This doesn’t pass the sniff test, you don’t need to vote “tactically” in Australia, we have preferential voting, so a Green Vote might preference a Teal and see their vote flow that way of the green candidate doesn’t hwt wnogh if the primary vote but thats a a different thing then Voting 1 Teal.
I always preference any Independent over the toxic shit stain that is the ALP and LNP.
Ilandar@aussie.zone 3 months ago
I think the point you are overlooking here is that the Teal candidates were brand new independents who had a big campaign focused on environmental policy presenting them as direct competitors to the Coalition incumbents. The study is suggesting voters made the collective assumption that their candidate/party would be unlikely to win (my guess is Labor voters: because these were Liberal seats, Greens voters: because The Greens up until this point had only ever held one seat in the lower house) so they directed their first preference vote to the Teal independents a) to ensure this new independent would gain enough votes to not instantly be eliminated in the first round but also b) with the hope that voters from other blocks (Coalition, Labor, Greens, etc) would do the same. The primary goal in these electorates was not to get their first choice candidate/party elected to power - it was to ensure the Coalition lost the seat. The Teal independents were the candidates that these different groups all predicted would be the most likely to pull this off, but this required that enough people preference them first on the ballot to avoid early elimination.
Ilandar@aussie.zone 3 months ago
This is the section on the Teal vote from the study: