Sure she has a chance. I don’t think we’ll really know how good of a chance until a little further down the road. But as a non-american, I’m optimistic.

Could she screw it up with a bad running mate. Of course. That’s politics and voters are fickle weirdos at the best of times. Hell, we’re living in a age where half the voters of your country are wearing maxi-pads on the side of their heads and have pledged their allegiance to a diaper wearing 34 time felon with dementia. Fickle weirdos is the nice way of putting it.

When you’re dealing with curve-balls of that magnitude, not even Nate Silver could predict her chances this early on.