Comment on Diplomat [George Brandis]'s warning not to erode Rudd's standing in Washington after Trump barbs
unionagainstdhmo@aussie.zone 3 months agoI don’t know what’s scarier - a Trump presidency or a Trump loss (and ensuing chaos)
@unionagainstdhmo @Kachilde Also depends on how narrow the loss is.
A "hanging chad" election that goes to the Supreme Court (like Bush—Gore) is basically a Trump win at this point.
A landslide wipeout like Walter Mondale in '84 to Biden is possibly the best outcome.
A relatively close Biden win, and there almost certainly will be violence.
The middle option is impossible with the number of voters loyal to Trump.
@Ilandar But it's really not.
The US has voluntary voting. Typically only a little over 50% of eligible voters turn up to vote.
That means even if the GOP managed to get 50% of the popular vote, that's just 25% of eligible voters.
Let's assume that 50% of those Republican voters are core loyal Trump supporters.
Okay, well that's just 12.5% of the US population.
A considerable percentage, no doubt. But for context, around 14% of the US population is black.
Now if 75% or more of the population isn't voting Republican, then a landslide is absolutely possible.
And if that landslide is not just in the presidential race, but on many down-ballot races as well, you're going to start to see the non-Trumpists in the GOP distance themselves from Don pretty bloody quickly.
It’s not going to happen. I don’t think you realise how unpopular Biden is, people don’t want to vote for him either. You’re kind of just blanket assuming that anyone who isn’t a Trump loyalist will vote for Biden but that’s not at all what will happen.
I feel like Trump could spin a landslide into fraud en mass. Especially if it were something like 88%. I doubt it will go that far given how the Republicans are slowly falling in line to back Trump, I’m not too familiar with US politics but I assume Fox News will be backing him, as Sky News is here
@unionagainstdhmo @Kachilde there will be chaos in either scenario. Chaos is the only sure thing for America's future.
ganksy@lemmy.world 3 months ago
A Trump presidency, period. Most of the US, most of the world for that matter, do not want him back in power. Terrorists can fuck right off! We want democracy.