Comment on Chris Martenson on VivaBarnes predicted fertilizer shortage 2 weeks ago. WSJ confirmed it today

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iamtanmay@wolfballs.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨years⁩ ago

Fuck, I haven't had to worried about this kind of madness in decades. If 2022 and 23's harvests fail, you will see the result with a 6 months lag to supermarkets, not immediately. Futures prices should also predict in advance when this happens.

The ones to starve first will be the poor people in Africa/SA/Asia, who can't afford to suddenly pay 4-10x for food. There will be a pretty big famine if the supply doesn't come back.

I bought around 50 kilos of potatoes from a farmer recently just coincidentally. I don't expect things will get so bad in Europe, but I was about to buy rice for long term storage also.

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