If we considered ’24 as a single point, then regression to the mean (thinking, as is pretty accurate across most states, that the split between d/r is often a few points off of 50/50) would suggest a large swing back towards ’neutral’ from a +14 point advantage.

So, even discounting the idiocy that is the current american administration and its effects on voters, yes, I would expect most places to vote more democrat.