That’s a fair point. I just don’t know if the future they see can become a reality.
Comment on Bill Gates: People saying AI will create more jobs don’t understand what’s coming
redballooon@lemmy.world 8 hours agoHe doesn’t take about what is, he talks about what’s coming.
treadful@lemmy.zip 7 hours ago
redballooon@lemmy.world 7 hours ago
I said that a year ago, and half a year ago, too, expecting the S curve to hit and the technology to get to some upper limit. But instead we got the agent loop, and models that make really good use of it, the releases only get faster and faster, and real improvements with each one, either faster and cheaper, but just as good, or actually a good deal smarter.
Even should the S curve start to turn towards slowing down now ( and it doesn’t look like it), the ceiling that it’s going towards is so high, I am with Bill Gates here. We are not prepared for what is coming.
treadful@lemmy.zip 7 hours ago
I’m seeing signs of behavior that is more than just a good auto complete, and think there is actual intelligence.
I suggest you be real careful not to anthropomorphize these systems. To me this sounds almost like AI psychosis.
redballooon@lemmy.world 7 hours ago
AI psychosis is what I accused by precious boss of, when he fabulated about replacing all his employees based on gpt-4o. What we have today is something completely different.
Also, I’m not anthropomorphize these things. Intelligence is not a uniquely human quality.
jj4211@lemmy.world 2 hours ago
Problem is that Gates isn’t really “in the loop” and doesn’t have especially valuable insight.
His position in tech was always a bit removed from the core technologist work, and now his exposure is a telephone game with people that are as distant from the tech as he was.
It is really going around with no shortage of commentators spewing out guesswork, but Gates is given more credibility by virtue of his role 30 years ago.