Comment on I'd have to hear her argument, but...
Enkers@sh.itjust.works 6 hours agoI would think it’s basically a coin flip for each living thing. It’s possible, for example, that all humans survive, however the probability is so astronomically small, it’s functionally impossible.
Same with gut biome. Even with several billion attempts, the probability that even 60% of any individual’s trillion gut microbes get snapped would be essentially functionally impossible.
Enkers@sh.itjust.works 5 hours ago
Just to give an idea of the unlikelihood we’re talking about here, you can model this as a Bernoulli process with a binomial distribution.
If N is the number of beings potentially snapped, then (√N)/2 is the standard deviation. (If you’re curious about why, you can read more here.) So for a 8.2 billion people, the standard deviation is ~90,000. The chance of being less than ~3 standard deviations is 0.1%. That means there’s only a 0.1% chance of snapping less than 4,099,720,200 people.