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Comment on Billions lost to Brexit could make NHS waiting lists disappear, top economist says

Using a synthetic control approach, the researchers compare each UK area’s actual economic path with a data-driven counterfactual: how that area might have evolved had Brexit not happened.

Synthetic counter factuals. Bullshit

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Natanael@infosec.pub ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago
Comparing growth rates and showing UK fell behind is perfectly valid and you’re still ignoring the imposed costs and proof of harmed industries

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- deHaga@feddit.uk ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago
  It would be perfectly valid if they used the actual data and not synthetic counter factuals.
  
  And it’s the net that matters, dirty goods trade has been replaced with clean services.
  
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  - Natanael@infosec.pub ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago
    Ah yes loss of dirty music tours, etc
    
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    deHaga@feddit.uk ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago
    That’s a service export. And the EU offered to include it in the deal but the Tories said no.
    
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