A few points:

• no, I don’t think it’s paranoid to strongly suspect that the fix is in for the fascists. It is, after all, a rather fundamental part of their plan. And the regime’s first spin in office demonstrated that they are absolutely willing to (at least attempt to) use extralegal and/or stochastic means to force change outside of (small d) democratic electoral mechanisms.
• none of that means you should give up on voting.
• i am honestly not sure what will actually happen on the day of the midterms. But I am planning on getting some freelance press photography credentials, taking the day off, and bopping around to see if I can catch any ICEatzgruppen (or Proud Boys or 3%ers or NSC131 fuckheads or whatever other paramilitary group) acting up and disseminating that content. I’m not convinced that it’s going to be that much of a shit show, but I am definitely extremely suspicious that one or more of the aforementioned groups may try to pull something, and if they do (while I have no illusions whatsoever about my personal ability to physically stop or prevent them from doing anything), I will do my best to make sure they’re unable to hide while they’re doing it, and that it becomes a matter of public record.