Tim Wilson is 128 votes ahead with only 86 envelopes left to count; Zoe can’t win on indicative preferences but (a) let’s see what the formal distribution of preference yields, and (b) CAN THE MARGIN GO BELOW 100!!! In which case it’s more likely that the AEC would do a recount… though I still think it’d need a total fluke/miracle for Zoe to retain her seat.