Comment on X’s dominance ‘over’ as Bluesky becomes new hub for research

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teawrecks@sopuli.xyz ⁨1⁩ ⁨week⁩ ago

barrier to entry is higher than that because it first requires you to understand the technology at a base level.

I just don’t buy that argument. Email is prolific and virtually no one knows how it works.

I legitimately believe that if ActivityPub services had gained traction before the dotcom bubble, they would be the default today, and twitter/bsky/reddit etc would have to go above and beyond to convince people to used their siloed platforms.

Instead, for-profit ventures are motivated by money to come up with new ideas and push them into the mainstream with their marketing budgets. Then later, the fediverse copies those ideas, often with half-baked approximations that are hard to scale (usually due to bandwidth and/or moderation costs).

people just abandon the old one and join the new popular one. They’ll leave when it gets shitty enough and join the new thing

I’m hoping this is the phenomenon that is the best chance for the fediverse’s future, because every time one of the platforms dies off some small percentage of the userbase switches to a fediverse alternative. And a protocol won’t fail like a private service will. So over time, the more often private services fail, the more users find the fediverse, the larger it gets, and the more people notice that it’s the most dependable way to go. It might take 100 years for a critical mass of people to figure it out, but I think in the long term, the fediverse will eventually be seen as “old reliable”.

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