UKRAINE DUDE: You guys broke down?
SOLDIER: What?
UKRAINE DUDE: You broke down? Maybe you need a tow back to Russia. Do you know where you're headed?
SOLDIER: No.
UKRAINE DUDE Well you're headed toward Kyiv.
SOLDIER: What are people saying?
UKRAINE DUDE: Everything is going our way. Your side is surrendering well because none of your guys know where they're headed. I asked a whole caravan of guys like you, and none of you know where you're headed. Some of your comrades have already been surrendering
goldenballs@wolfballs.com 3 years ago
Well, Ukraine can probably hold Russia to a 1-1 draw at home, but they will lose more territory if populations polarise in each direction and West Ukraine goes to EU.
iamtanmay@wolfballs.com 3 years ago
Hard to say. Nothing like a common enemy to unite the nation as 9/11 showed. I don't know what life is like for East UA, and how they feel about Russia.
On paper Russia should steamroll with 10x of everything. But they are 10x inefficient compared to Western armies. Soldiers ran out of food/fuel 3 days into a war planned for months. Lost drivers asking locals for directions. Reports from 2010 say conscripts were fed expired and dog food.
UA soldiers still fighting are the loyalists who didn't desert. Strong local support, home advantage and desperation. Sun Tzu would bet on them.
Its Russia's war to lose.
goldenballs@wolfballs.com 3 years ago
I think last week is suggested Kharkhov and Mariupol were vulnerable to Russia. I thought a local rebel insurrection would be the technique. I don't see how Russia can realistically take and hold any more territory. Even getting up to the Dneiper is hard to achieve. Russia seems to be learning a lesson that China wants to avoid, with a failed attempt at grabbing Taiwan, and prompting Kim Wrong Un to make this worse with his almost literal loose cannon fingertips.