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The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/InVodkaVeritas on 2023-11-05 21:39:54.
Figures vary by book. These are the live numbers on Circa, the largest sportsbook in Las Vegas. The actual odds are not the point of the post though, regardless of which book you look at only 8 schools have a realistic chance at the playoff.
Odds to Play in the College Football Playoff
| Rank | School | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Even |
| 2 | Florida State | +200 |
| 3 | Georgia | +300 |
| 4 | Alabama | +335 |
| 5 | Michigan | +400 |
| 6 | Oregon | +450 |
| 7 | Washington | +565 |
| 8 | Texas | +700 |
| 9 | Penn State | +1900 |
| 10 | Ole Miss | +2200 |
| 11 | Louisville | +3200 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | +3500 |
| 13 | Kansas | +4200 |
Vegas is basically telling us that they only see 8 teams remaining with a realistic shot at the playoff: Georgia, Ohio State, Florida State, Alabama, Michigan, Oregon, Washington, and Texas.
While schools like Penn State and Ole Miss have clear paths to the playoff of “just win out” Vegas is putting their odds of making at it in longshot territory.