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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/TheAthletic on 2026-04-20 16:31:05+00:00.
If Fernando Mendoza is the lock of the draft and Ty Simpson remains the first round’s greatest mystery, the rest of the quarterback class could be in store for an unpredictable weekend.
No, this has not been a top-billed QB class, so the later wave of prospects hasn’t generated much buzz, either. There are known names, for sure, such as Miami’s Carson Beck, LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier and Penn State’s Drew Allar, but their spotlights faded with performance woes.
Naturally, general managers all dream of the possibility of finding a Tom Brady in the sixth round or even a Brock Purdy in the seventh, but the vast majority of mid- to late-round QBs never become viable long-term starters. Of the 123 quarterbacks taken in the third round or later from 2000 to 2020, 82 (66.7 percent) made 10 or fewer starts, 30 of those 82 never made a start, and just 14 (11.4 percent) of the overall group made at least 50 starts.