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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/Saca312 on 2025-09-08 03:42:54+00:00.
Some further context:
• The Ravens lost 8 games when Lamar Jackson was the starter—and in 6 of those 8, ESPN’s win-probability model placed Baltimore at at least a 90% chance to win in the fourth quarter at some point during the game. And in every one of those losses, they had at least a 75% chance in that quarter
• 8 total losses since 2021 in games where the Ravens once held a ≥ 90% win probability.
• That number is three more than the next closest team, suggesting it’s not even remotely close, making it a clear outlier.
• The systemic nature of these losses, across seasons, personnel, and situations, speaks to deeper issues within game planning, personnel decisions, or mental toughness in late-game execution.