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The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/RealignmentJunkie on 2025-08-26 12:54:34+00:00.

Original Title: In the Big XII, there were 22 possible combinations of three undefeated teams, meaning an undefeated team could miss the conference championship on tie breakers. After Kansas State lost to Iowa State, 17 remain.


Did this two years ago for the SEC, but Kansas State losing made me wonder what the Big XII looked like. These were very very roughly sorted from most plausible to least plausible using ESPN’s FPI, but take it with a grain of salt, especially given that the top option was already eliminated.

Team 1 Team 2 Team 3
Kansas State BYU Arizona State
BYU Arizona State Kansas
BYU Kansas Baylor
Iowa State Baylor Texas Tech
Iowa State UCF Utah
TCU UCF Utah
Kansas Baylor Colorado
Baylor Texas Tech Colorado
Kansas State Arizona State Cincinnati
Texas Tech Colorado Cincinnati
Kansas State Cincinnati West Virginia
Iowa State Baylor West Virginia
BYU Arizona State Oklahoma State
TCU Utah Oklahoma State
Texas Tech TCU Arizona
TCU Utah Arizona
TCU UCF Arizona
UCF Utah Arizona
Kansas State BYU Houston
Kansas State Cincinnati Houston
BYU Kansas Houston
Iowa State Utah Houston

EDIT: In response to an excellent question in the comments, I looked at quartets where this could be the case.

There is only one for the Big XII:

TCU, UCF, Utah, Arizona