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The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/RJEP22 on 2025-07-15 00:45:54+00:00.
WE’RE GOING THROUGH EACH P4 TEAM’S SCHEDULE AND PICKING EVERY GAME!
Today we have the LSU Tigers!
Things have gone well so far for LSU under Brian Kelly, but they haven’t gone great. 29 wins in 3 years is good, but in 2024 their 8 regular season wins we’re 2 short of the mark needed to make the CFP. You can’t keep having the 10th win of the season come in the ReliaQuest bowl.
Defense has been the achilles heel for Kelly’s teams thus far, but 2025 looks to finally be the year that changes. 9 transfers join the defense this year and 5 of them are likely to start, while the other 4 will add some much needed depth along the DL and in the secondary. This defense just has to be better. Any meaningful improvement will put LSU squarely in playoff contentions because…
On offense, heisman hopeful Garrett Nussmeier returns to lead a talented unit that only really needed to replace production at WR in the wake of the tragic situation involving the death of Kyren Lacy. Some key depth has been added in the portal along the OL, which should be able to keep Nussmeier clean more often than not.
SCHEDULE BREAKDOWN
L @ Clemson
W vs LA Tech
W vs Florida
W vs Southeastern Louisiana
W @ Ole Miss
BYE
W vs South Carolina
W @ Vanderbilt
W vs Texas A&M
BYE
L @ Alabama
W vs Arkansas
W vs Western Kentucky
W @ Oklahoma
It’s not the most brutal of the SEC schedules in 2025, and Georgia, Texas, and Tennessee are absent, but there aren’t a whole lot of gimmes to be seen either. 3 of the non-con games will be wins, and you’d love to expect this team to handle Vanderbilt and Arkansas, but the remaining 7 games will be anything but comfortable.
LSU hasn’t won an opener since their 2019 title season and I expect that trend to continue as they travel to Clemson to kick off the season. They’ll have every chance of winning that game but I don’t think I can pick them rolling into the other death valley and coming away with a win right now.
Difficult games are littered all over this schedule. They host Florida and travel to Ole Miss before their first bye while many teams wont see a losable game on the schedule until midway through October. I have questions for Ole Miss this year and I’m certainly not going to pick the Gators in a what will likely be a night game in Baton Rouge. Getting to the BYE at 4-1 would be a tremendous achievement.
From there I really don’t think they will have too much trouble with the middle of the schedule. Traveling to Vandy while getting South Carolina and Texas A&M at home is exactly what they needed and I am confident they will sweep this stretch of the season. The trips to Alabama and Oklahoma will be the only tests left and I think they drop the trip to Bama but handle Arkansas and Oklahoma.
9-3 is definitely more likely than 11-1 but dropping one they shouldn’t still results in an over. I think fans are perfectly valid in expecting 10 wins and maybe even a home playoff game this season, but it remains to be seen if Kelly and Co. can take that next step.