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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/Lazy_Humor1620 on 2025-06-04 18:52:17+00:00.
Original Title: Patrick Mahomes ANY/A has declined in 6 of his 7 years as a starter. In 2023 he dropped out of the Top 10, finishing 15th, in 2024 he finished 19th. ANY/A is the “raw” passing stat most correlated to predicting a QBs future wins/performance.
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For those that don’t know, ANY/A is the “raw” passing stat most correlated to wins. The short story on the stat is that it treats passing touchdowns as a bonus of 20 yards, an interception as a penalty of 45 yards and also includes sacks and sack yardage, unlike passer rating.
Explanatory vs. Predictive Stats: Some stats, like the number of rushing attempts, are explanatory because they are often a consequence of a team’s lead. Conversely, predictive stats like ANY/A suggest a team’s likely future success, not just how they won in the past.