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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/Cybotnic-Rebooted on 2025-04-20 02:05:56+00:00.
Hello! As the draft continues to come sooner and sooner, draft discussion grows harder and harder. It’s all but certain that the #1 overall pick will be Miami QB Cam Ward, marking the 19th time out of 26 drafts of the 21st century a QB will go #1 overall. Almost every year, there is a QB with the potential to be the next great one, but it’s always a gamble, at least somewhat, whether he hits that potential.
That made me wonder: What if, somehow, you were able to ask someone all knowing how good a certain QB will be, and he told you that he would be the Nth best QB. What would be the biggest number of N that you would take that QB #1 overall?
Obviously if you are told he would be the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc. best QB in the league, you would take him 1st. Conversely, if he told you he would be the 32nd best QB in the league, you wouldn’t touch him in the 1st. But how far would you go down the board before you say ‘no’ to drafting him with the 1st overall pick?