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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/shadow_spinner0 on 2025-04-09 16:51:33+00:00.
We have been trying to judge purely where teams can get a quarterback who can be at least a solid starter for several seasons. The odds on Day 3 are certainly not good. I have just three (Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy) of the 93 quarterbacks selected on Day 3 since 2010 having earned at least “solid starter” status. That is 3.2%. Yup, 3.2%.
There is an easy takeaway from all three of our posts.
The odds of finding your franchise quarterback aren’t fantastic, even if you draft a quarterback in Round 1. They drop precipitously each day in the draft, with the chance you will find someone who can be at least a solid long-term starter on Day 3 being remote.
Take that flier if you must. Odds are, though, if you are taking a quarterback on the third day of the draft you are probably wasting a roster spot.