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The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/Arlann on 2024-11-14 16:52:18+00:00.


With 3 weeks of Big XII play remaining, only 4 teams have been eliminated from conference championship contention (UCF, Arizona, Utah, Oklahoma St,), every other team in the conference still has a path the conference championship game…

The most wild scenario would be a 11-way tie for 2nd place with 11 teams at 5-4 in conference. For this to happen the results of 21 of the 22 remaining conference games would have to go certain way.

Required results:

11/15-11/16: Houston over Arizona, Kansas over BYU, Utah over Colorado, Cincinnati over Iowa St, Kansas St over Arizona St, Baylor over W Virginia

11/23: BYU over Arizona St, Baylor over Houston, Kansas over Colorado, Cincinnati over Kansas St, Texas Tech over Okla St, Arizona over TCU, Utah over Iowa St, UCF over W Virginia

11/29-11/30: Okla St over Colorado, Arizona St over Arizona, Kansas over Baylor, Houston over BYU, TCU over Cincinnati, Iowa St over Kansas St, W Virginia over Texas Tech, (Utah v UCF doesn’t matter)

In this scenario, the conference championship game would be 7-2 BYU vs 5-4 Kansas (yes, Kansas that is currently 2-4 in conference).

For this to happen it would require all the bad teams to suddenly be good and all the good teams to collapse. The dream will likely die in the first game on Saturday when Colorado beats Utah, but strange things can happen on the football field.