This is an automated archive made by the Lemmit Bot.
The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/rankings-right-now on 2024-10-24 16:47:19+00:00.
Here are the results of running 10,000 simulations of Week 9 games using machine learning models trained on historical AP poll voting data. Each simulation uses the ESPN FPI likelihood to determine the winning team, and the score is picked from a distribution of historical college football scores.
Some key points from the analysis:
- Oregon has a 91.5% of retaining the #1 ranking
- In all the games where Texas A&M was the winning team against LSU, TAMU finished in the top ten in every single simulation
- Alabama has a 48.2% chance of being in the top 12 after Week 9
- According to the ESPN FPI, BYU only has a 45% chance of beating UCF. Due to this, there is only 15.3% of all the simulations run had them in the top 10