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The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/usffan on 2024-06-21 13:09:26+00:00.
Appalachian State returns a good chunk of their offense from a 9 win team, with their only significant loss being leading rusher Nate Noel (to Missouri). They’re a -0.9 on the ESPN FPI ratings, 70.42 on 2023 Sagarin, return 63% of their returning production (ranked 62nd) with 247 recruiting ratings of 155.02 (94th) and transfer portal ratings of 24.35 (84th). Here’s the schedule with predictions:
8/31 EAST TENNESSEE STATE (W)
9/7 @ Clemson (L)
9/14 @ East Carolina (W)
9/19 SOUTH ALABAMA (W)
9/28 LIBERTY (W, coin toss)
10/5 @ Marshall (W)
10/12 @ Louisiana (W)
10/19 BYE
10/26 GEORGIA STATE (W)
11/2 OLD DOMINION (W)
11/7 @ Coastal Carolina (W, coin toss)
11/16 BYE
11/23 JAMES MADISON (W, coin toss)
11/30 @ Georgia Southern (W)
Outlook Yes, you read that right, I have Appalachian State going 11-1 and undefeated in the Fun Belt going into the SBC championship game. I do have them winning all 3 of their “coin toss” games, including against Liberty (when they’ll have pretty much all of CFB fandom rooting for them). I think the Mountaineers will be on the short list of teams vying for the first G5 playoff bid of the 12 team playoff era.