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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/JPAnalyst on 2024-03-17 18:22:35.


Watching 2021 draft picks Justin Fields, Mac Jones and Trey Lance get traded for extremely little draft capital, I wanted to figure out how much trade value was lost from the selection in 2021 to the trade in 2023-24. This is simply a comparison of the draft value of the pick they used to the draft value of the pick they received in the trade using the Jimmy Johnson draft value chart, and that’s all its intended to be. Obviously, they also received three years of play from the QBs, which isn’t quantified in this comparison. The 49ers, Patriots, and Bears combined to receive only 1.8% of the draft value they spent on these three quarterbacks.

Player Pick (JJ value) Traded for pick (JJ value)
Trey Lance 3rd overall (2200) 124th overall in 2024 (48)
Justin Fields 11th overall (1250) 6th or 4th in 2025 (21)*
Mac Jones 15th overall (1050) 193rd overall in 2024 (14)
Zach Wilson 2nd overall (2600) ??

*Justin Fields was traded for either a 2025 6th or 4th depending on playing time. The exact pick is unknown, I used the trade value for a pick in the middle of the 6th round.