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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/RustyCoal950212 on 2024-02-23 21:34:57.
I think this graph of current guaranteed money on the books is a rough estimation of which teams benefit and which teams were harmed by the salary cap going up by $30m instead of $17m or whatever
Teams near the top with huge amounts of money tied up into expensive players benefit. Teams near the bottom with little money guaranteed who were looking to go on spending sprees this year and next are harmed. Teams near the middle are relatively unchanged
Good news: Browns, Eagles, Saints, Bills, Ravens, 49ers
Bad news: Patriots, Colts, Steelers, Commanders, Bears, Lions
Edit: To the “doesn’t this affect every team equally?” comments:
Free agent signings will become more expensive, and not every team is going to spend an equal amount on free agents
Assume a 20% inflation on free agent signings
Team A had $0 to spend on free agents. ($0 + $13m) x 0.8 = $10.4. Their purchasing power increased by $10.4m
Team B had $100m to spend on free agents. ($100m + $13m) x 0.8 = $90.4m. Their purchasing power decreased by $10m
Team C had $50m to spend on free agents. ($50m + $13m) * 0.8 = $50.4m. Their purchasing power remained virtually the same
Contracts are multi-year though, and for that reason I think showing all future guaranteed money is better than just 2024 cap space