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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/Shaynisin on 2024-02-04 14:07:13.
This number rises only to top 17 including playoff wins against Detroit and Green Bay. KC is 6-2 against teams within the top half of total defense
SF is 1-2 in games against teams with a defense ranked 16th or higher, with losses to Baltimore and Cleveland. Their sole win was against Dallas, who played on the road where their team struggled heavily all year. In those 2 games against Baltimore and Detroit QB Brock Purdy has thrown 1 TD to 5 Interceptions
Separated by Passing/Rushing defenses, with the meaningless week 18 Rams game removed.
SF is 9-2 against teams with a bottom half Passing defense. They are 3-2 against teams with a top half Passing defense, with the formerly mentioned win against Dallas and 2 wins against the 13th placed Cardinals. KC is ranked 4th.
SF has 8 wins against teams with a bottom half rushing defense. They are 5-3 against teams with a top half rushing defense, and are currently undefeated against teams with a bottom half ranked defense. KC is ranked 17th in run defense.
SF is 9-1 against teams with a bottom half scoring defense. They are 3-3 against teams with a top half scoring defense. KC is ranked 2nd in scoring defense.
Trying to be as non biased as possible, my analysis is that the 49ers excellent regular season #1 overall performance has come largely against teams with poor defenses, and the team has struggled against teams with better defenses in their limited time playing against them. I do not think that SF is fraudulent by any means, but I think they had a favorable schedule and has had very little experience playing against good defenses.
KC has faced far tougher opponents during their playoff stretch and looked and performed better against them than San Fransisco has during their playoff run. The game will likely be a low scoring defensive battle and largely be decided by the matchup between SFs offense vs KCs defense.
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