macro economy does not work like that. any complex system has inertia like an ocean-liner. you turn a wheel and it turns after 10 miles.

seeing something is nice, but analysis of what you see is not necessarily withing the reach of “common sense”, which is why we have scientist who study the problem for all their life and professionals in their field.

and that is why people trying to manipulate masses are trying to convince dense people not to trust the science and trust their common sense. because such gullible people can then be convince about anything they decide to.

also fubar’s story reads like a really bad republican fan-fiction. “explosive growth” under trump and doom and despair under democratic president. come on, no administration has that big effect on your daily life. there are countries where it takes time to establish government after the elections and guess what, the day to day life still goes on even with no government present.