You could use a site like wunderground.com to get an idea of what the weather has been like around that time prior years.

www.wunderground.com/history/weekly/…/2023-12-25

For what it’s worth last few years it’s been chilly but kind of on the warmer side. NYC area hasn’t been hit with a huge amount of snow the last few years either, feels like we only get a few days of snow maybe in January/February nowadays.