Comment on Not FC but probably true
iamtanmay@wolfballs.com 2 years ago
Regarding neo nazis, its complicated. UA does have a minority of nazis, but they don't hold a lot of influence in the country.
In some post communist countries, like Czech Republic, Communist party is openly allowed, but they hardly get any votes.
The logic in both cases is that its better to have these kind of people in the open, publicly mocked and discussed, rather than banning them and allowing them to gain influence underground.
goldenballs@wolfballs.com 2 years ago
People should study history. The reason real Nazis (as opposed to "enthusiasts") got into power was because of hyperinflation and economic collapse due to incompetence. Of course there was plenty of kindling in the form of the humiliation of Germany after Versailles, but most wars are fundamentally economic. The current action in Ukraine is very overtly about energy. There are longstanding other issues, but war has to have economic energy to make it happen.
In the age of empires, whilst Europeans did have technology advantages in terms if weapons,its the gigantic industrial system powered by coal and augmented by trade that powered the logistics of conquest. Previous empires, like the Dutch, Portuguese, and Spanish, built only on trade ansmd a smaller weapons and logistics advantage could not sustain themselves as long or project power as deeply ad the British and similar empires. The French empire could never match British industry and trade, and America inherited the British suzerainty, becoming like Rome to Britain as a latter-day Greece. It is to Greece and Rome that we should look, for hints of the future.
Communism's eventual economic failure was inevitable, but did prompt the west to shift from calitalism to creditism and racl up enormous debt to secure the early demise of the soviet world... Without that debt it may have taken much longer... The west was spent up after the Vietnam war. As the creditist ststem collspses, the world may resume something like that Cold War. With the west critically weakened by the lingering social impact of the corruption and abuse of its trust-based Creditist financial system. A future world of old-style capitalist mercantilist states like India with large populations and stark hierarchies, where rights culture has no traction, awaits.
iamtanmay@wolfballs.com 2 years ago
On 3rd Reich as you mentioned lot of supporting factors. My personal thesis is food shortage/fertilizer put a lot of pressure. Germany's fertilizer was used up in WW1 for bombs, and they just started Haber process to make ammonia, i.e. instead of looking for natural Guano. UA is partly about energy, since the West listened to Greta and shut down production, but NATO played a big part, as did a weak leader in Biden. Russia saw what happened in Afg last year.
RE: Capitalism. For all its many flaws, its the best system we have compared to alternatives. Same with democracy.
RE: "....like India with large populations and stark hierarchies, where rights culture has no traction " India is very mixed. You have holdouts from the caste system, but mostly today its a class divide, rich vs middle vs poor. Rights culture has HUGE traction in India. Feminism is huge in parts, while patriarchy is huge in others like villages. Same with other minority rights. Rights culture has 50-50 split in the country, and the propaganda is just as bad as US
RE: Invasions. Yeah they did that with Iraq and Libya. I think the returns were not as high as they expected, at the same time as Shale boom happened. But they will do that again eventually once they get desperate.
goldenballs@wolfballs.com 2 years ago
Capitalism was replaced by Creditism decades ago. Capitalism is what predominated in the 18th and 19th centuries with landowners and robber barons.
Before money was predominately created by magicking credit/debt into existence, which is 98% of what goes on today, resulting in unsustainable debt.
The civil war in Ukraine has been rumbling on in one form or another since Russia lost its previous client leader there. The disintegration of Ukraine seems likely.
I am in Asia, and I don't see much sign of traction for rights/woke culture, maybe superficially in parts of developed urban enclaves, but corruption dominates.
iamtanmay@wolfballs.com 2 years ago
Credit is voluntary. Live within your means. For mortgage it makes sense if rates are low and house prices not artificially high. Get a safe long term investment portfolio and keep the difference in rates. Repayments are cheaper than rent and you save a lot. Worst case, sell the house. Done properly you are in the black. If there is dishonesty, your paper value is less than real value. That's Risk. Ooga has tried to cheat Booga since the dawn of time. A fool and his gold.
Urban India is woke, women's rights there progressed into degeneracy like in the west. Rural areas very traditional, with honor killings and such.