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iamtanmay@wolfballs.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨years⁩ ago

“covid modelling is bad therefore climate change modelling is bad”

I am not saying researchers are incapable of ethical modelling. I am pointing out the intense corruption in the past 2 years, where SAGE modellers presented whatever the govt required to justify their insane decisions.

In "Climate science", there are 2 truths 1) The only "data" is the past. Everyone agrees on last 50 years temperatures and rise of ~1C. 2) All govt actions are based on extending trend line for the next 100 years. This is foolish. Even if we throw the world's GDP into climate modelling, you cannot account for the infinite complexities of our planet. Modelling is not "data". Its plugging a limited number of variables into an equation and hoping it simulates "everything" - horseshit

Not even getting into the predicted effects of a 1 - 2C increase, because that is all delusions

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