Comment on What are the most mindblowing fact in mathematics?

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Elderos@lemmings.world ⁨11⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

To me, it makes sense because there was initially 2 chances out of 3 for the prize to be in the doors you did not pick. Revealing a door does not reset the odds of the whole problem, it is still more likely that the prize is in one of the door you did not pick, and a door was removed from that pool. Imo, the key element here is that your own door cannot be revealed early, so it is never “tested”, and this ultimately make the other door more “vouched” for, statistically, and since you know that the door was more likely to be in the other set to begin with, well, might as well switch!

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