Comment on How bad is it that Israel has attacked Iran?

• Libra@lemmy.ml ⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

  Israel will definitely retaliate (for the strikes that are retaliating against its strikes, it just goes round and round.) The US is moving naval assets into the region so they’re apparently taking the threat seriously. It was a combination of the US, UK, France, Germany, and ~50 other nations that voted to declare Iran in violation of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty so they likely have a vested interest as well, but Europe isn’t nearly as gung-ho about this sort of thing as the US is so they’re likely to let us take the lead if it goes that far. Iran’s neighbors have been trying to normalize relations with Israel for a while now but Israel doesn’t have puppet strings on them like we have on Israel so they likely won’t get involved. This is probably going to stay an Israel-Iran(-US) thing for a bit, but again it depends on how serious Iran wants to take this. I expect their losses in enrichment facilities were something baked into the cost of the program so they’re probably not too stuffed over that, but they’ve lost at least two high-ranking military commanders that I’ve heard of so far and that thing does tend to get their panties in a bunch.

  It’s all speculation at this point, and wild-assed, largely-uninformed speculation especially on my part, so I’m not going to try to lay odds on it. But there is definitely the potential for more trouble coming down the pike.

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  • LadyButterfly@piefed.blahaj.zone ⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

    Thanks for taking the time to explain that, I've got my head round it more now

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    • Libra@lemmy.ml ⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

      Be sure to remember that I don’t really know what I’m talking about and any predictions I make are likely to be wildly inaccurate, but otherwise I’m happy to help explain the situation a little bit.

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      • LadyButterfly@piefed.blahaj.zone ⁨2⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

        Well you clearly know enough to explain it to the level you have! But yes I understand you're not an expert

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