Comment on Albanese in trouble as polling shows Dutton most likely to be next PM

morebento@aussie.zone ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

Kevin Bonham predicts 51 to 49 going to the L-NP (kevinbonham.blogspot.com). Based on Antony Green’s Swingometer and the 2022 preference flows that means about 74 seats to the L-NP with a 0.5% swing to them (www.abc.net.au/news/elections/…/calculator). That is minority government though. They need 76 seats to form government, so it would be a deal with independents. Which ones?

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